South Carolina State 78, South Carolina Upstate 70: the favorite falls flat
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -3.5 (moneyline -178)
- Market probability (margin removed): South Carolina Upstate Spartans 61%, South Carolina St Bulldogs 39%
- Line since opening: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -4.5 → -3.5 · Total 148 → 148.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- South Carolina Upstate Spartans -175 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- South Carolina St Bulldogs +150 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- South Carolina Upstate Spartans -3.5 (-114) at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- South Carolina St Bulldogs +3.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 148.5
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: South Carolina St Bulldogs 78, South Carolina Upstate Spartans 70
Against the closing line: South Carolina Upstate Spartans lost and did not cover -3.5 · Total 148, a push on 148
Game Recap
South Carolina State Bulldogs 78, South Carolina Upstate Spartans 70.
The Bulldogs flipped the script. Upstate came in as a 4.5-point favorite, trimmed to -3.5 by tip, and fresh off a 78-72 win over South Carolina State on Dec 16. But the Spartans' 49.2% shooting and home court didn't hold up. South Carolina State, the underdog with nothing to lose, outplayed the favorite down the stretch. The market gave Upstate a 61% chance to win; the Bulldogs made that number look soft. The Spartans' 0-1 record now has another loss, and the head-to-head edge is gone.
Against the numbers: Upstate lost outright and failed to cover -3.5. The total of 148 landed exactly on 148, a push.
Pre-Game Analysis
South Carolina Upstate opened as a 4.5-point favorite and sits at -3.5 for Friday's meeting with South Carolina State. The market probability, margin removed, is Upstate 61%, South Carolina State 39%. That's a lean, not a verdict, and it's the reason this game gets a full look rather than a pick.
The case for the Spartans starts with the head-to-head: they beat South Carolina State 78-72 on Dec 16. They shoot 49.2% from the field, and they're at home. The case against them is the 0-1 record and 83.0 points allowed per game. The number says Upstate is better. The early results say the defense has to prove it.
The case for the Bulldogs is the start: 1-0, a 1-game win streak, 94.0 points per game and 55.0 allowed. They're 1-0 against the spread. The case against them is the schedule and the 45.0% field goal rate. They've won, but they haven't done it against a team the market respects like this one.
The line moved toward South Carolina State. The spread went from -4.5 to -3.5, and the moneyline went from -210 to -178. The total has stayed put at 148.5. Best prices: Upstate -175 on the moneyline at Bovada, South Carolina State +150 at Bovada. Upstate -3.5 (-114) at Everygame, South Carolina State +3.5 (-105) at Bovada. Over 148.5 (-110) and Under 148.5 (-110) at Bovada. BetOnline.ag lists Upstate -4 (-110) and a 148 total, which is a different number than the rest of the market.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If your read is Upstate, -175 at Bovada is the shortest price on the favorite. If it's South Carolina State, +150 at Bovada is the best number on the dog.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 6, 3:46 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans: FAQ
Who is favored in South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans?+
South Carolina Upstate Spartans: -3.5 on the spread and -178 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 61%.
What are the best odds for South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans?+
When this analysis was written: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -175 at Bovada and South Carolina St Bulldogs +150 at Bovada on the moneyline; South Carolina Upstate Spartans -3.5 (-114) at Everygame and South Carolina St Bulldogs +3.5 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 148.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened South Carolina Upstate Spartans -4.5 and was -3.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 148 and was 148.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
South Carolina St Bulldogs 78, South Carolina Upstate Spartans 70.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
More NCAAB Picks
Recent Results
UConn Huskies @ Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines spread -7
Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Auburn Tigers
Tulsa Golden Hurricane spread +6
Oklahoma Sooners @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Oklahoma Sooners spread -3.5
Michigan Wolverines @ Arizona Wildcats
Michigan Wolverines spread -1.5
Illinois Fighting Illini @ UConn Huskies
UConn Huskies spread +2
West Virginia Mountaineers @ Creighton Bluejays
Creighton Bluejays spread -1
Oklahoma Sooners @ Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears spread +1
Illinois St Redbirds @ Auburn Tigers
Illinois St Redbirds spread +7
Stanford Cardinal @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Stanford Cardinal spread -1
New Mexico Lobos @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
New Mexico Lobos spread -3.5