Evansville -7 against Southern Indiana, and the line keeps sliding.

Evansville hosts Southern Indiana as a -7 favorite, and the market has already moved off the opening number. The moneyline sits at -327 for the Purple Aces, with the market giving Evansville a 74% chance to win, margin removed. That's a clear favorite, but it's not a number that clears the bar for a published pick.

The case for Evansville starts with a perfect record: 1-0, scoring 80.0 points per game while allowing 70.0. The Purple Aces haven't played at home yet this season, so this is their first chance to defend their floor. The market still prices them as a double-digit favorite on the moneyline, and the spread has held near a touchdown despite the early move.

The case for Southern Indiana is the offense. The Screaming Eagles are 1-1, putting up 83.0 points per game and allowing just 57.0. That's the highest scoring average in this matchup, and it's why the spread has moved from -10 to -7 since opening. The road hasn't been tested yet, but the numbers say this team can score with anyone.

The number has moved toward Southern Indiana, with the spread dropping three full points from -10 to -7. The total has stayed put at 143. If you're on Evansville, the best price is -7 (-110) at Everygame. If you're on Southern Indiana, +7 (-105) at Bovada is the top number. On the moneyline, Evansville is -325 at BetOnline.ag, while Southern Indiana is +275 at Everygame. For the total, the over is -110 at BetUS and the under is -105 at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play to publish. The market sees a close game, and the best number is out there for whatever your read is.