Screaming Eagles 70, Jaguars 74: IUPUI wins but fails to cover -8.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: IUPUI Jaguars -8 (moneyline -365)
- Market probability (margin removed): IUPUI Jaguars 75%, Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 25%
- Line since opening: IUPUI Jaguars -7 → -8 · Total 160 → 164
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- IUPUI Jaguars -360 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +295 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Spread
- IUPUI Jaguars -8 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +8 (-105) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 164
- Over -107 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 70, IUPUI Jaguars 74
Against the closing line: IUPUI Jaguars won and did not cover -8.5 · Total 144, under 164
Game Recap
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 70, IUPUI Jaguars 74.
The Jaguars closed as 8.5-point favorites with a moneyline of -365, and the market gave them a 75% chance to win. They got the win, but Southern Indiana's 80.7 points per game kept them close enough to make the spread irrelevant. The Screaming Eagles allowed 64.0 per game, and IUPUI couldn't pull away. The total closed at 164, but the teams combined for just 144, a full 20 points under the number.
Against the numbers: IUPUI won outright but did not cover -8.5, and the total went under 164.
Pre-Game Analysis
IUPUI hosts Southern Indiana on Wednesday night, and the market has drawn a hard line. The Jaguars are favored by 8 points with a moneyline of -365, and the market probability, margin removed, sits at 75% IUPUI, 25% Southern Indiana. That's a heavy lean for a home team, and bettors get to decide whether the number has gone too far or not far enough.
The case for Southern Indiana starts with scoring. The Screaming Eagles put up 80.7 points per game and allow 64.0, a differential that suggests they can hang with a team priced this high. They're also 1-0 against the spread in their own database, so they've covered when given the chance. The knock is recent form: they're coming off a loss and haven't played a true road game yet, with an 0-0 away record. If that scoring holds, the +8 looks like a lot of points.
The case for IUPUI is the market's own conviction. The spread opened at -7 and moved to -8, and the total jumped from 160 to 164, both signals pointing toward the Jaguars and toward points. The moneyline sits at -365, implying a win probability well above the 75% market mark. IUPUI doesn't need to win by double digits to justify the move, but the line movement says bettors expect a comfortable margin.
The number has moved, and the best prices are scattered. On the moneyline, Bovada has IUPUI at -360, while Everygame has Southern Indiana at +295. On the spread, Bovada offers IUPUI -8 (-110) and BetOnline.ag has Southern Indiana +8 (-105). For the total of 164, the over is -107 at BetOnline.ag and the under is -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 11, 4:49 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs IUPUI Jaguars: FAQ
Who is favored in Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs IUPUI Jaguars?+
IUPUI Jaguars: -8 on the spread and -365 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 75%.
What are the best odds for Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs IUPUI Jaguars?+
When this analysis was written: IUPUI Jaguars -360 at Bovada and Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +295 at Everygame on the moneyline; IUPUI Jaguars -8 (-110) at Bovada and Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +8 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -107 at BetOnline.ag and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 164. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened IUPUI Jaguars -7 and was -8 when this analysis was written; the total opened 160 and was 164.
Does GODDS have a pick for Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs IUPUI Jaguars?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 70, IUPUI Jaguars 74.
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