Fresno St -3 vs UC Riverside, and the line is already moving.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Fresno St Bulldogs -3 (moneyline -165)
- Market probability (margin removed): Fresno St Bulldogs 60%, UC Riverside Highlanders 40%
- Line since opening: Fresno St Bulldogs -5 → -3 · Total 148.5 → 146
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Fresno St Bulldogs -163 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- UC Riverside Highlanders +150 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Spread
- Fresno St Bulldogs -3 (-110) at BetUSBet at BetUS →
- UC Riverside Highlanders +3 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 146
- Over -110 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Under -110 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Fresno St hosts UC Riverside on Saturday, and the market has this one priced tight: Bulldogs -3, moneyline -165, with the margin removed that's a 60/40 split in Fresno's favor. The Highlanders are 3-0 and covering, so the number is doing a lot of work to keep Fresno as the favorite.
UC Riverside's case is simple: 84.7 points per game and only 60.7 allowed, a 3-0 record, a 1-0 mark against the spread, and a 48.7% field goal rate. The Highlanders have won every game on their schedule and they're doing it on both ends. That's why the spread has moved from -5 to -3 and the moneyline has come off its opening -225.
Fresno's case: 82.7 points per game, a 2-1 record, a win streak of one, and a 46.4% field goal rate. The Bulldogs are scoring at nearly the same clip as UC Riverside, and they're the home side. The market still makes them the favorite, and the -3 is the number the books are hanging.
The line movement tells the story: spread Fresno -5 to -3, total 148.5 to 146, moneyline -225 to -165. Sharp money has clearly come in on UC Riverside. Best prices: Fresno moneyline -163 at BetOnline.ag, UC Riverside +150 at Everygame. Spread: Fresno -3 (-110) at BetUS, UC Riverside +3 (-105) at Bovada. Total 146: over -110 and under -110, both at Everygame.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is out there; go get it.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 5:16 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
UC Riverside Highlanders vs Fresno St Bulldogs: FAQ
Who is favored in UC Riverside Highlanders vs Fresno St Bulldogs?+
Fresno St Bulldogs: -3 on the spread and -165 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 60%.
What are the best odds for UC Riverside Highlanders vs Fresno St Bulldogs?+
When this analysis was written: Fresno St Bulldogs -163 at BetOnline.ag and UC Riverside Highlanders +150 at Everygame on the moneyline; Fresno St Bulldogs -3 (-110) at BetUS and UC Riverside Highlanders +3 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Everygame and Under -110 at Everygame on the total of 146. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Fresno St Bulldogs -5 and was -3 when this analysis was written; the total opened 148.5 and was 146.
Does GODDS have a pick for UC Riverside Highlanders vs Fresno St Bulldogs?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
More NCAAB Picks
Recent Results
UConn Huskies @ Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines spread -7
Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Auburn Tigers
Tulsa Golden Hurricane spread +6
Oklahoma Sooners @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Oklahoma Sooners spread -3.5
Michigan Wolverines @ Arizona Wildcats
Michigan Wolverines spread -1.5
Illinois Fighting Illini @ UConn Huskies
UConn Huskies spread +2
West Virginia Mountaineers @ Creighton Bluejays
Creighton Bluejays spread -1
Oklahoma Sooners @ Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears spread +1
Illinois St Redbirds @ Auburn Tigers
Illinois St Redbirds spread +7
Stanford Cardinal @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Stanford Cardinal spread -1
New Mexico Lobos @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
New Mexico Lobos spread -3.5