Hawai'i -8 against UT-Arlington, and the market is pulling back.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -8 (moneyline -425)
- Market probability (margin removed): Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 78%, UT-Arlington Mavericks 22%
- Line since opening: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -8.5 → -8 · Total 146 → 146.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -420 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- UT-Arlington Mavericks +334 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Spread
- Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -8 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- UT-Arlington Mavericks +8 (-105) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 146.5
- Over -105 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Two undefeated teams, two very different scorelines, and a market that can't decide how much separation to give the home side. Hawai'i is 2-0 and priced at -8 with a -425 moneyline. Strip the margin out and the market hands the Rainbow Warriors 78%, UT-Arlington 22%. That's the number to beat.
The case for Hawai'i is scoring and defense at once. The Rainbow Warriors put up 95.0 points per game and allow just 58.5, a 36.5-point cushion across two wins, and they're shooting 51.9% from the field. That's a team that gets whatever it wants on one end and gives nothing easy on the other. The catch: they're 0-1 against the spread, so the market has already been ahead of them once.
UT-Arlington's argument is simple. The Mavericks are also 2-0, scoring 89.0 per game while allowing 70.5, and they're shooting 48.2% as a group. They've won both games on their own terms and they haven't been asked to play a road game yet, which cuts both ways. The gap in points allowed is real, and so is the gap in opponent quality, which nobody in this data set settles.
The line tells its own story. The spread opened at -8.5 and sits at -8, and the moneyline drifted from -432 to -425, both toward UT-Arlington. The total went the other way, 146 to 146.5, toward the over. Best prices: Hawai'i -420 at Everygame, UT-Arlington +334 at BetOnline.ag, Rainbow Warriors -8 (-110) at Bovada, Mavericks +8 (-105) at BetOnline.ag, over 146.5 (-105) at BetOnline.ag, under 146.5 (-110) at Bovada.
No side clears 70% in the GODDS model, so there's no pick here. Whatever your read, take the best number on the board.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
UT-Arlington Mavericks vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: FAQ
Who is favored in UT-Arlington Mavericks vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?+
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: -8 on the spread and -425 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 78%.
What are the best odds for UT-Arlington Mavericks vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?+
When this analysis was written: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -420 at Everygame and UT-Arlington Mavericks +334 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -8 (-110) at Bovada and UT-Arlington Mavericks +8 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -105 at BetOnline.ag and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 146.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -8.5 and was -8 when this analysis was written; the total opened 146 and was 146.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for UT-Arlington Mavericks vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
More NCAAB Picks
Recent Results
UConn Huskies @ Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines spread -7
Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Auburn Tigers
Tulsa Golden Hurricane spread +6
Oklahoma Sooners @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Oklahoma Sooners spread -3.5
Michigan Wolverines @ Arizona Wildcats
Michigan Wolverines spread -1.5
Illinois Fighting Illini @ UConn Huskies
UConn Huskies spread +2
West Virginia Mountaineers @ Creighton Bluejays
Creighton Bluejays spread -1
Oklahoma Sooners @ Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears spread +1
Illinois St Redbirds @ Auburn Tigers
Illinois St Redbirds spread +7
Stanford Cardinal @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Stanford Cardinal spread -1
New Mexico Lobos @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
New Mexico Lobos spread -3.5