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Vanderbilt -18 against Wake Forest, and the line keeps climbing.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Vanderbilt Commodores -18 (moneyline -2800)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Vanderbilt Commodores 92%, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 8%
  • Line since opening: Vanderbilt Commodores -16 → -18 · Total 152.5 → 155

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Spread

Total 155

Vanderbilt and Wake Forest meet Thursday with both teams at 1-0, and the market has already made its call. The Commodores are priced at -18 on the spread and -2800 on the moneyline, with the market probability, margin removed, sitting at Vanderbilt 92 percent and Wake Forest 8 percent. That's the number bettors are working with: a near-maximum price on the favorite and a thin slice of belief for the underdog.

The case for Vanderbilt starts with scoring. The Commodores put up 93.0 points per game while allowing 47.0, and they shot 60.0 percent from the field in their opener. That combination of volume and accuracy is why the market has them as a heavy favorite. The head-to-head record supports it too: Vanderbilt beat Wake Forest 98-67 in their last meeting on Dec. 21.

The case for Wake Forest is that it has its own win streak and a functional offense. The Demon Deacons score 83.0 per game and allow 62.0, with a 52.6 percent field goal rate. They're 1-0 and have shown they can put points on the board. The argument for the underdog is that 18 points is a lot to lay, and Wake Forest has the scoring profile to keep this from turning into a blowout.

The line has moved since opening: the spread went from Vanderbilt -16 to -18, and the total climbed from 152.5 to 155. Both moves point toward the favorite and the over. For the best prices, Bovada has Vanderbilt -2200 on the moneyline, while BetUS has Wake Forest +1250. On the spread, BetOnline.ag has Vanderbilt -18 at -113, and Bovada has Wake Forest +18 at -105. On the total, Bovada has the over 155 at -110, and BetOnline.ag has the under at -105.

GODDS has no pick on this game because no side reaches 70 percent in its model. If you have a read, the best number is there for you.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookDeaconsCommodoresSpreadO/U
BetOnline.ag
Bovada
BetUS
Everygame
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair---18.5(+106)155(O-102)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 5, 12:56 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Vanderbilt Commodores: FAQ

Who is favored in Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Vanderbilt Commodores?+

Vanderbilt Commodores: -18 on the spread and -2800 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 92%.

What are the best odds for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Vanderbilt Commodores?+

When this analysis was written: Vanderbilt Commodores -2200 at Bovada and Wake Forest Demon Deacons +1250 at BetUS on the moneyline; Vanderbilt Commodores -18 (-113) at BetOnline.ag and Wake Forest Demon Deacons +18 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -105 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 155. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Vanderbilt Commodores -16 and was -18 when this analysis was written; the total opened 152.5 and was 155.

Does GODDS have a pick for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Vanderbilt Commodores?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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