USC -6.5 against Wichita St, and the line keeps climbing.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: USC Trojans -6.5 (moneyline -270)
- Market probability (margin removed): USC Trojans 70%, Wichita St Shockers 30%
- Line since opening: USC Trojans +8 → -6.5 · Total 154.5 → 156
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- USC Trojans -270 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Wichita St Shockers +235 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- USC Trojans -6.5 (-105) at BetUSBet at BetUS →
- Wichita St Shockers +6.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 156
- Over -110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
USC and Wichita St both roll into this one 1-0, but the market has already picked a side. The Trojans are -6.5 and -270 on the moneyline, and the market probability, margin removed, sits at USC 70%, Wichita St 30%. That's the number that matters: this game doesn't clear the bar for a Godds pick, so the job is to show you both cases and let you make the call.
The case for USC starts with the offense. The Trojans put up 95.0 points per game and shot 56.9% from the field in their opener. That's a team that can score in bunches, and the market has noticed. The line moved from +8 to -6.5 since opening, and the moneyline swung from +205 to -270. Sharp money is on the home side, and it's not subtle.
The case for Wichita St is defense and value. The Shockers held their opener to 67.0 points while scoring 79.0, and they're getting +6.5 with a +235 moneyline at Bovada. The market may be overreacting to USC's shooting night. Wichita St's 37.3% field goal percentage is ugly, but it's one game, and the number has moved far enough that the road side is the contrarian's argument.
The total moved from 154.5 to 156, and the best price on the over is -110 at BetOnline.ag, same as the under. On the spread, the best number for USC is -6.5 (-105) at BetUS, and for Wichita St it's +6.5 (-105) at Bovada. The moneyline is best at -270 for USC at BetOnline.ag and +235 for Wichita St at Bovada.
Godds has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best numbers are right there.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 8, 7:44 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Wichita St Shockers vs USC Trojans: FAQ
Who is favored in Wichita St Shockers vs USC Trojans?+
USC Trojans: -6.5 on the spread and -270 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 70%.
What are the best odds for Wichita St Shockers vs USC Trojans?+
When this analysis was written: USC Trojans -270 at BetOnline.ag and Wichita St Shockers +235 at Bovada on the moneyline; USC Trojans -6.5 (-105) at BetUS and Wichita St Shockers +6.5 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at BetOnline.ag and Under -110 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 156. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened USC Trojans +8 and was -6.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 154.5 and was 156.
Does GODDS have a pick for Wichita St Shockers vs USC Trojans?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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