Central Michigan -4 vs Youngstown State, and the line keeps climbing.

Central Michigan hosts Youngstown State on Tuesday, and the market has already made its call. The Chippewas are -4 at BetOnline.ag and BetUS, with a moneyline of -150 at Bovada. The market probability, margin removed, sits at Central Michigan 58%, Youngstown State 42%. That's a lean, not a lock.

The case for Central Michigan starts with scoring. The Chippewas are putting up 88.0 points per game and allowing just 64.0, a 24-point margin that jumps off the page. They're on a 2-game win streak and shooting 49.2% from the field as a team. That kind of efficiency on both ends explains why the line has moved.

Youngstown State's argument is simpler: the number might be too high. The Penguins are scoring 72.0 per game but allowing 80.0, and they've dropped one straight. Their 38.3% field goal percentage is the concern. But they're 1-1 with a win under their belt, and the spread has already climbed from -2.5 to -4. The value crowd will tell you the points are live.

The line movement tells the story. Central Michigan opened -2.5 and is now -4 across the board. The total has stayed put at 152, with no significant movement. Best prices: Central Michigan -4 (-115) at BetOnline.ag, Youngstown State +4 (-105) at BetOnline.ag, moneyline -150 at Bovada for the Chippewas and +130 for the Penguins. Over and under 152 are both -110 at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in our model. If you're playing it, the best number is out there. Go get it.