Texas Tech -3.5 against Arizona, and the market can't split them.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Texas Tech Red Raiders -3.5 (moneyline -175)
- Market probability (margin removed): Texas Tech Red Raiders 61%, Arizona Wildcats 39%
- Line since opening: Texas Tech Red Raiders -3.5 → -3.5 · Total 55 → 54.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Texas Tech Red Raiders -165 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Arizona Wildcats +155 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
Spread
- Texas Tech Red Raiders -3.5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Arizona Wildcats +3.5 (+100) at BetUSBet at BetUS →
Total 54.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Two 6-1 teams, one line, and a market that can't make up its mind. Texas Tech is the favorite at -3.5 and -175 on the moneyline, but the market probability after removing the margin is 61% Red Raiders, 39% Wildcats. That's a game, not a mismatch. Arizona rolls in on a five-game win streak and a 2-1 road record. Texas Tech is 4-0 at home but is coming off a loss. The number is short for a reason.
The case for Texas Tech starts at home, where the Red Raiders are perfect, and with a scoring profile that puts up 35.9 points per game while allowing 20.4. The schedule has been sturdy: 6-1 overall, and the last ten games read W-W-W-W-W-W-L-L-W-W. The case against backing them is the spread record, 1-2-0 and just a 33% cover rate. The market has been ahead of this team.
The case for Arizona is defense and form. The Wildcats allow just 16.7 points per game, better than Texas Tech's number, and they've won five straight. Their ATS record is 2-1-0, a 67% cover rate, and the Under has hit in all three of their O/U decisions. They're 2-1 on the road. The concern is the loss in their last ten and the fact that the market still makes them a dog on the road.
The line has been steady at -3.5, but the moneyline moved from -184 to -175, and that's sharp money on Arizona. The total dropped from 55 to 54.5, toward the under. Best prices: Texas Tech -165 at Everygame, Arizona +155 at MyBookie.ag. Spread: Texas Tech -3.5 (-110) at BetAnything, Arizona +3.5 (+100) at BetUS. Total 54.5: Over -110 and Under -110, both at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, take the best number on your side and let it ride.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 30, 12:38 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders: FAQ
Who is favored in Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders?+
Texas Tech Red Raiders: -3.5 on the spread and -175 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 61%.
What are the best odds for Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders?+
When this analysis was written: Texas Tech Red Raiders -165 at Everygame and Arizona Wildcats +155 at MyBookie.ag on the moneyline; Texas Tech Red Raiders -3.5 (-110) at BetAnything and Arizona Wildcats +3.5 (+100) at BetUS on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 54.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Texas Tech Red Raiders -3.5 and was -3.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 55 and was 54.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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