BYU -8.5 vs Baylor, and the line keeps climbing.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: BYU Cougars -8.5 (moneyline -320)
- Market probability (margin removed): BYU Cougars 73%, Baylor Bears 27%
- Line since opening: BYU Cougars -8 → -8.5 · Total 49.5 → 50
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- BYU Cougars -300 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Baylor Bears +260 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- BYU Cougars -8.5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Baylor Bears +8.5 (-108) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 50
- Over -105 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
BYU hosts Baylor on Saturday with a 7-2 record and a 5-0 mark at home. The market prices the Cougars as a -8.5 favorite and gives them a 73% chance to win with the margin removed. Baylor's 6-3 record and 2-2 road mark make this a real test for the number. The total sits at 50, up from 49.5 at the open.
The case for BYU starts with its home record and its 4-1-0 ATS mark, an 80% cover rate. The Cougars score 31.0 points per game and allow 19.8. They're on a one-game losing streak, but the last 10 games read W-W-W-W-W-W-L-W-L-L, and the moneyline record is 4-1. The market has moved from -310 to -320 on the moneyline, and the spread has moved from -8 to -8.5.
The case for Baylor is its 31.9 points per game and 17.0 allowed, both better than BYU's scoring numbers. The Bears are on a two-game win streak and have won three of their last four. Their 4-2-0 ATS record is a 67% cover rate, and their moneyline record is 5-1. They've already won two road games. The Bears get +8.5 at Bovada (-108), the best spread price on the board.
The number has moved toward BYU on the spread and the moneyline, and toward the over on the total. The best moneyline price on BYU is -300 at BetOnline.ag. The best price on Baylor is +260 at Bovada. On the spread, BYU -8.5 (-110) is available at BetAnything, and Baylor +8.5 (-108) is at Bovada. On the total of 50, the over is -105 at BetAnything and the under is -110 at MyBookie.ag.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model. Whatever your read is, the best number for it is on the board.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 5:16 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars: FAQ
Who is favored in Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars?+
BYU Cougars: -8.5 on the spread and -320 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 73%.
What are the best odds for Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars?+
When this analysis was written: BYU Cougars -300 at BetOnline.ag and Baylor Bears +260 at Bovada on the moneyline; BYU Cougars -8.5 (-110) at BetAnything and Baylor Bears +8.5 (-108) at Bovada on the spread; Over -105 at BetAnything and Under -110 at MyBookie.ag on the total of 50. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened BYU Cougars -8 and was -8.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 49.5 and was 50.
Does GODDS have a pick for Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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