Notre Dame 41, Boston College 7: the favorite covers at -29
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29 (moneyline -8697)
- Market probability (margin removed): Notre Dame Fighting Irish 95%, Boston College Eagles 5%
- Line since opening: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -30.5 → -29 · Total 53 → 51.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish -7692 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
- Boston College Eagles +1800 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Boston College Eagles +29 (-105) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 51.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -105 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Final: Boston College Eagles 7, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41
Against the closing line: Notre Dame Fighting Irish won and covered -29 · Total 48, under 51.5
Game Recap
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41, Boston College Eagles 7. The Irish did exactly what a -29 favorite is supposed to do: dominate from start to finish. Boston College had no answer for a Notre Dame team that's now 8-1 and perfect at home, and the scoreboard reflected the gap the market expected. The total of 48 stayed under the closing number of 51.5, so the under bettors who trusted the defensive matchup got paid. Notre Dame won outright and covered the -29 spread with room to spare, a clean result for anyone who backed the favorite. The market had Notre Dame at 95% to win, and that probability played out without drama.
Pre-Game Analysis
Notre Dame is 8-1 and perfect at home, and the market has priced the Fighting Irish at -29 against Boston College. The market probability, margin removed, sits at Notre Dame 95% and Boston College 5%. That's the starting point for every bettor on this game.
The case for Notre Dame is in the scoring margin. The Irish put up 39.3 points per game and allow 14.6, and they've won two straight after a 9-game run of W-W-W-W-W-W-L-W-W-W. They're 5-0 at home and 3-0 on the moneyline. But the spread is a different story: Notre Dame is 0-3 against the number this season. The market still prices them as a near-lock to win, and the moneyline has only gotten shorter, from -7692 to -8697.
Boston College is 4-5 and 1-3 on the road, with a two-game losing streak and 21.9 points per game against 27.0 allowed. The Eagles are 2-3 on the moneyline. Their argument is against the number: 4-1 ATS, an 80% cover rate. They've been the better side to back in the spread market all season, and the line has moved their way, from -30.5 to -29.
The total opened at 53 and sits at 51.5, money on the under. Best prices: Notre Dame moneyline -7692 at MyBookie.ag, Boston College +1800 at Bovada. Spread: Notre Dame -29 (-110) at BetAnything, Boston College +29 (-105) at BetOnline.ag. Total 51.5: over -110 at BetAnything, under -105 at Everygame.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. Whatever your read is, the best number is listed above.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 2:50 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: FAQ
Who is favored in Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish?+
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: -29 on the spread and -8697 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 95%.
What are the best odds for Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish?+
When this analysis was written: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -7692 at MyBookie.ag and Boston College Eagles +1800 at Bovada on the moneyline; Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29 (-110) at BetAnything and Boston College Eagles +29 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -105 at Everygame on the total of 51.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Notre Dame Fighting Irish -30.5 and was -29 when this analysis was written; the total opened 53 and was 51.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Boston College Eagles 7, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41.
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