Washington State -8 hosts Colorado State, and the market blinked.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Washington State Cougars -8 (moneyline -322)
- Market probability (margin removed): Washington State Cougars 73%, Colorado State Rams 27%
- Line since opening: Washington State Cougars -8.5 → -8 · Total 67 → 65
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Washington State Cougars -320 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Colorado State Rams +265 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Washington State Cougars -8 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Colorado State Rams +8 (-105) at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Total 65
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Washington State is 1-8 and still favored by more than a touchdown. That's the market's read, and it's the number bettors have to wrestle with: Cougars -8 at home, moneyline -322, a 73% win probability with the margin stripped out. Colorado State comes in 3-6 with a 0-3 road record and a defense giving up 44.8 points per game. Both teams are on losing streaks. The line is the story.
The case for Washington State is simple: the market still prices the Cougars as the better team, and the number reflects it. But the record tells you why the price has slipped. Wazzu has lost six straight, sits at 1-8, and is 1-2 against the spread. The Cougars score 19.0 points per game and allow 27.4. The home crowd hasn't been enough to stop the slide, and the moneyline record is 0-3. Backing the favorite means trusting a team that hasn't won since early in the season.
The case for Colorado State is the offense. The Rams put up 35.8 points per game, and that number travels. The problem is the other side of the ball: 44.8 allowed per game, and an 0-3 road mark. The Rams are 0-1 against the spread and 0-1 on the moneyline. The best argument is that the market is overpricing a Washington State team that can't score, and the line movement agrees. The spread moved from -8.5 to -8, the total dropped from 67 to 65, and the moneyline went from -350 to -322. Sharp money is on Colorado State.
The best prices: Washington State -320 on the moneyline at BetOnline.ag, Colorado State +265 at Bovada. On the spread, Washington State -8 (-110) at BetAnything, Colorado State +8 (-105) at Everygame. Total 65: Over -110 and Under -110, both at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick on this game. Neither side reaches 70% in the model. Whatever your read is, take the best number on the board.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 7:58 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Colorado State Rams vs Washington State Cougars: FAQ
Who is favored in Colorado State Rams vs Washington State Cougars?+
Washington State Cougars: -8 on the spread and -322 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 73%.
What are the best odds for Colorado State Rams vs Washington State Cougars?+
When this analysis was written: Washington State Cougars -320 at BetOnline.ag and Colorado State Rams +265 at Bovada on the moneyline; Washington State Cougars -8 (-110) at BetAnything and Colorado State Rams +8 (-105) at Everygame on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 65. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Washington State Cougars -8.5 and was -8 when this analysis was written; the total opened 67 and was 65.
Does GODDS have a pick for Colorado State Rams vs Washington State Cougars?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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