UCLA -10 against Illinois, and the line won't budge.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: UCLA Bruins -10 (moneyline -392)
- Market probability (margin removed): UCLA Bruins 76%, Illinois Fighting Illini 24%
- Line since opening: UCLA Bruins -10 → -10 · Total 46.5 → 47.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- UCLA Bruins -380 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Illinois Fighting Illini +335 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Spread
- UCLA Bruins -10 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 47.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -105 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
UCLA puts a 9-0 record on the line against Illinois, and the market has made its position clear. The Bruins are -10 on the spread and -392 on the moneyline, with the market probability, margin removed, sitting at UCLA 76% and Illinois 24%. That's the number to beat if you're backing the Illini.
UCLA's case is built on a 9-game win streak, a perfect 5-0 at home, and a defense allowing 14.1 points per game while scoring 33.6. The Bruins have covered in their only ATS decision of the sample and won their only moneyline decision. A team that hasn't lost since the season started, at home, with a two-score cushion, is exactly what the market is pricing.
Illinois counters with a 4-game win streak of its own and a 2-1 road record. The Illini score 28.4 and allow 23.0, a profile that says they can hang around if the game stays in the 20s. They've also covered in their only ATS decision and won their only moneyline decision. The case for the underdog is simple: a team playing its best football right now, getting double digits.
The spread hasn't moved off -10, but the moneyline has: -380 to -392, sharp money on UCLA. The total moved from 46.5 to 47.5, toward the over. Best prices: UCLA moneyline -380 at Everygame, Illinois +335 at BetAnything. Spread both ways at -110 at BetAnything. Total 47.5: over -110 at BetAnything, under -105 at BetOnline.ag.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, take the best number on the board.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 12, 1:05 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins: FAQ
Who is favored in Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins?+
UCLA Bruins: -10 on the spread and -392 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 76%.
What are the best odds for Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins?+
When this analysis was written: UCLA Bruins -380 at Everygame and Illinois Fighting Illini +335 at BetAnything on the moneyline; UCLA Bruins -10 (-110) at BetAnything and Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -105 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 47.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened UCLA Bruins -10 and was -10 when this analysis was written; the total opened 46.5 and was 47.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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