Arizona -12.5 vs Iowa State. The market keeps pushing.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Arizona Wildcats -12.5 (moneyline -380)
- Market probability (margin removed): Arizona Wildcats 76%, Iowa State Cyclones 24%
- Line since opening: Arizona Wildcats -10 → -12.5 · Total 49.5 → 51.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Arizona Wildcats -370 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Iowa State Cyclones +313 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
Spread
- Arizona Wildcats -12.5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Iowa State Cyclones +12.5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 51.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Arizona hosts Iowa State as a -12.5 favorite, and the market has made its stance clear. The Wildcats are priced at -380 on the moneyline, and with the margin removed that's a 76% implied win probability for the home side. Iowa State sits at 24%. This is a game where the number has moved, and bettors have to decide if the market has overcorrected.
The case for Arizona starts with scoring balance: 35.7 points per game against 19.0 allowed. The Wildcats are 5-1 and have won two of their last three, though their last two games read W-L. The spread has climbed from -10 to -12.5, and the moneyline has stayed in the -370 to -420 range across books. Arizona's argument is simple: the market sees a double-digit gap, and the Wildcats have the scoring margin to support it.
The case for Iowa State is built on a defense that keeps games within reach. The Cyclones allow 21.7 points per game while scoring 29.7, and they're 3-3 with a last-five of L-W-L-W-L. Their ATS record is 1-2, but the moneyline has moved from -410 to -380, which means sharp money has come in on the underdog. Iowa State's best argument is that the line has stretched to a number where a single score changes the cover.
The total has moved from 49.5 to 51.5, and the best price on the over is -110 at BetAnything, with the under also -110 at BetAnything. On the spread, Arizona -12.5 (-110) at BetAnything and Iowa State +12.5 (-110) at BetAnything are the best available. The best moneyline prices are Arizona -370 at Bovada and Iowa State +313 at MyBookie.ag.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play. If you have a read, the best numbers are listed above.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 24, 4:36 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona Wildcats: FAQ
Who is favored in Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona Wildcats?+
Arizona Wildcats: -12.5 on the spread and -380 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 76%.
What are the best odds for Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona Wildcats?+
When this analysis was written: Arizona Wildcats -370 at Bovada and Iowa State Cyclones +313 at MyBookie.ag on the moneyline; Arizona Wildcats -12.5 (-110) at BetAnything and Iowa State Cyclones +12.5 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 51.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Arizona Wildcats -10 and was -12.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 49.5 and was 51.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona Wildcats?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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