Baylor -10 vs Iowa State, and the market's number is moving.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Baylor Bears -10 (moneyline -367)
- Market probability (margin removed): Baylor Bears 75%, Iowa State Cyclones 25%
- Line since opening: Baylor Bears -9.5 → -10 · Total 50.5 → 51
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Baylor Bears -355 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Iowa State Cyclones +297 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Spread
- Baylor Bears -10 (+102) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Iowa State Cyclones +10 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 51
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Baylor hosts Iowa State on Saturday with a 5-3 record and a 3-1 mark at home. The market prices the Bears as a -10 favorite and gives them a 75% chance to win outright, with Iowa State at 25%. That's the number bettors are working with, and it's the number that matters.
Baylor's case is built on a defense allowing 15.3 PPG and a home record of 3-1. The Bears are 4-1 on the moneyline and 3-2 against the spread, covering 60% of their games. They've won their last game and have a 30.6 PPG offense to pair with that defense. The data says Baylor has been the more reliable side.
Iowa State's case is a 29.0 PPG offense and a 4-4 record that includes a 1-game win streak. The Cyclones are 2-3-1 against the spread and 2-4 on the moneyline, but they've shown they can score. Their 0-3 road record is the counterweight, and the market has priced that in.
The line has moved from -9.5 to -10 on the spread, toward Baylor. The total moved from 50.5 to 51, toward the over. The moneyline moved from -380 to -367, which is sharp money on Iowa State. Best prices: Baylor moneyline -355 at BetOnline.ag, Iowa State +297 at BetAnything. Spread: Baylor -10 (+102) at BetOnline.ag, Iowa State +10 (-110) at BetAnything. Total 51: over -110 and under -110 at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 6, 12:20 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears: FAQ
Who is favored in Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?+
Baylor Bears: -10 on the spread and -367 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 75%.
What are the best odds for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?+
When this analysis was written: Baylor Bears -355 at BetOnline.ag and Iowa State Cyclones +297 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Baylor Bears -10 (+102) at BetOnline.ag and Iowa State Cyclones +10 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 51. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Baylor Bears -9.5 and was -10 when this analysis was written; the total opened 50.5 and was 51.
Does GODDS have a pick for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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