James Madison -5 at UConn. The Market Picks a Side.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: James Madison Dukes -5 (moneyline -200)
- Market probability (margin removed): UConn Huskies 36%, James Madison Dukes 64%
- Line since opening: James Madison Dukes -3.5 → -5 · Total 58 → 57.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- UConn Huskies +174 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- James Madison Dukes -200 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Spread
- UConn Huskies +5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- James Madison Dukes -5 (-108) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 57.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
James Madison rolls into UConn as a 5-point favorite with a 64% market probability after margin removal, and the number tells you where the money sits. The Dukes are 8-2 and scoring 40.6 points per game while allowing just 19.3. UConn sits at 4-5, allowing 26.7 per game, and carries a 2-game losing streak. That's the case for the favorite, and it's not subtle.
The case for UConn starts with the price. The Huskies are +5 at home with a 2-0 ATS record, and they've covered both times they've been tested against the number. UConn scores 32.9 per game, enough to stay in a game where the total sits at 57.5. The Huskies are also 2-0 on the over/under, and their last 10 shows they don't fold: W-L-W-L-L-W-W-L-L-W. A home dog with a perfect cover rate and a scoring offense is a real argument.
The market moved toward James Madison. The spread opened at -3.5 and climbed to -5. The moneyline on UConn drifted from +148 to +170, sharp money on the Dukes. The total slipped from 58 to 57.5, toward the under. Best prices: UConn +174 on the moneyline at BetOnline.ag; James Madison -200 at BetAnything. On the spread, UConn +5 (-110) at BetAnything, James Madison -5 (-108) at Bovada. Total 57.5: Over -110 and Under -110, both at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 13, 12:36 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies: FAQ
Who is favored in James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies?+
James Madison Dukes: -5 on the spread and -200 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 64%.
What are the best odds for James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies?+
When this analysis was written: UConn Huskies +174 at BetOnline.ag and James Madison Dukes -200 at BetAnything on the moneyline; UConn Huskies +5 (-110) at BetAnything and James Madison Dukes -5 (-108) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 57.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened James Madison Dukes -3.5 and was -5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 58 and was 57.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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