Louisiana Tech -7 at Troy, and the market keeps moving toward the Bulldogs.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -7 (moneyline -268)
- Market probability (margin removed): Troy Trojans 30%, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 70%
- Line since opening: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -5.5 → -7 · Total 47 → 47.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Troy Trojans +235 at BetUSBet at BetUS →
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -260 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Troy Trojans +7 (-110) at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -7 (+100) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 47.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Louisiana Tech walks into Troy as a -7 favorite with a -268 moneyline, and the market gives the Bulldogs a 70% win probability once the margin is removed. That's the number that matters: this game sits right on the line between a confident favorite and a live underdog, which is exactly why it's worth a closer look before you commit.
The case for Louisiana Tech is simple. The Bulldogs are 6-2, riding a 5-game win streak, and scoring 32.6 points per game while allowing just 20.9. They've covered in both of their ATS decisions. A team that scores that much and gives up that little, on a five-game run, is the reason the line has climbed all week.
The case for Troy is home field and a defense that keeps games close. The Trojans are 3-1 at home, allowing 24.4 points per game, and they've covered both of their ATS decisions this season. They're also on a 1-game win streak and have won three of their last four. A home dog getting a full touchdown, with a defense that holds opponents under 25, has a real path to staying inside the number.
The line tells its own story. The spread opened at Troy +5.5 and moved to +7. The moneyline went from +176 to +220 on Troy, which means sharp money is on Louisiana Tech. The total moved from 47 to 47.5. Best prices: Troy moneyline +235 at BetUS, Louisiana Tech -260 at Bovada. Troy +7 at -110 at MyBookie.ag, Louisiana Tech -7 at +100 at BetAnything. Total 47.5: over -110 at BetAnything, under -110 at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches the 70% threshold in the model. Whatever your read is, take the best number on the board.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 7, 3:03 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans: FAQ
Who is favored in Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans?+
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: -7 on the spread and -268 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 70%.
What are the best odds for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans?+
When this analysis was written: Troy Trojans +235 at BetUS and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -260 at Bovada on the moneyline; Troy Trojans +7 (-110) at MyBookie.ag and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -7 (+100) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 47.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -5.5 and was -7 when this analysis was written; the total opened 47 and was 47.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
More NCAAF Picks
Recent Results
California Golden Bears @ SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs spread -19
Rice Owls @ Florida Atlantic Owls
Florida Atlantic Owls spread -8
Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Texas Tech Red Raiders spread -11
Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines
Indiana Hoosiers spread -7
NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal
NC State Wolfpack spread -7
Air Force Falcons @ Wyoming Cowboys
Air Force Falcons spread -4.5
Army Black Knights @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Tulsa Golden Hurricane spread -1.5
Duke Blue Devils @ Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers spread -1.5
UMass Minutemen @ UConn Huskies
UMass Minutemen spread +14.5
East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers spread -10