Louisiana Tech -13.5 at UL Monroe: The Spread Is Still Too Low

The God of Odds likes Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -13.5 at -110, and BetAnything is the place to hammer it. The line has moved from -14.5 to -13.5, giving you a better number on the side that actually deserves your money. UL Monroe is 0-5, losers of five straight, and allowing 44.6 points per game. Louisiana Tech is 3-2, riding a two-game win streak, and scoring 35.2 points per game. That's a +11.2 scoring edge for the Bulldogs, and it's not close.

The Warhawks are 0-2 at home and have been outscored by an average of 20.6 points per game this season. Their defense is a turnstile, and their offense averages just 24.0 points per game. Louisiana Tech's last six games show a W-L-L-W-W-L pattern, but the two wins are recent and they've covered the spread in their only ATS opportunity this season. The Bulldogs have been tested on the road, going 0-2 away from home, but this UL Monroe team is a different level of bad. The Warhawks are in poor form, and their 5-game losing streak is a clear signal.

Line movement is a gift here. The spread moved from +14.5 to +13.5, meaning the market is giving you a better price on Louisiana Tech. The moneyline moved from +477 to +430, indicating sharp money on UL Monroe, but that's a classic overreaction to a winless team. The Bulldogs' scoring advantage and the Warhawks' defensive woes are the real story. Louisiana Tech's 35.2 PPG is a problem for a UL Monroe defense that allows 44.6 PPG. The Bulldogs should cover this number with room to spare.

The edge is at BetAnything, where you get -110 on Louisiana Tech -13.5. Compare that to Bovada at -115, and you're saving five cents on the dollar. That's real value. The other books are offering -110 or worse, but BetAnything gives you the best price at the pick's line. Hammer the Bulldogs at -13.5 before the line moves back up. This is a high-confidence play at 4/5.