Marshall -3 at Old Dominion: the market sees a 57% favorite.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Marshall Thundering Herd -3 (moneyline -145)
- Market probability (margin removed): Old Dominion Monarchs 43%, Marshall Thundering Herd 57%
- Line since opening: Marshall Thundering Herd -3 → -3 · Total 44.5 → 46.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Old Dominion Monarchs +125 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Marshall Thundering Herd -140 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Spread
- Old Dominion Monarchs +3 (-115) at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
- Marshall Thundering Herd -3 (+100) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 46.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Marshall travels to Old Dominion as a -3 favorite, and the market isn't sold. The moneyline sits at -145 on the Herd, +125 on the Monarchs, and with the margin removed the implied probability is 57% Marshall, 43% Old Dominion. That's a thin edge for a road favorite, and the number hasn't budged since opening. This is a game where the price tells you more than the records do.
The case for Marshall starts with the record: 4-3 overall, 1-2 on the road, and a 1-game win streak heading into Saturday. The Herd score 21.7 points per game and allow 30.7, so they're not blowing anyone out, but they've shown enough to be favored on the road. Their 0-2 mark on the over/under suggests games have stayed under the total, which fits a team that grinds out wins rather than runs away.
The case for Old Dominion is home-field and a defense that's kept scores down. The Monarchs are 2-6 overall and 1-3 at home, riding a 2-game losing streak, but they allow just 26.8 points per game while scoring 15.5. That's a low-scoring profile that keeps them within a field goal. Their 1-1 ATS record doesn't tell you much, but the home crowd and a defense that limits damage give them a real path to cover +3.
The total has moved from 44.5 to 46.5, a clear lean toward the over. On the spread, Old Dominion +3 is -115 at MyBookie.ag, while Marshall -3 is +100 at BetAnything, the only book paying plus money on the favorite. On the moneyline, the Monarchs are +125 at Bovada, the Herd -140 at BetAnything. For the total at 46.5, both the over and under are -110 at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick on this game because no side reaches 70% in its model. The market says 57% Marshall, and that's not enough. If you have a read, the best numbers are Old Dominion +3 (-115) at MyBookie.ag and Marshall -3 (+100) at BetAnything.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 31, 11:40 AM ET. Lines may have moved.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs: FAQ
Who is favored in Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs?+
Marshall Thundering Herd: -3 on the spread and -145 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 57%.
What are the best odds for Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs?+
When this analysis was written: Old Dominion Monarchs +125 at Bovada and Marshall Thundering Herd -140 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Old Dominion Monarchs +3 (-115) at MyBookie.ag and Marshall Thundering Herd -3 (+100) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 46.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Marshall Thundering Herd -3 and was -3 when this analysis was written; the total opened 44.5 and was 46.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
More NCAAF Picks
Recent Results
California Golden Bears @ SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs spread -19
Rice Owls @ Florida Atlantic Owls
Florida Atlantic Owls spread -8
Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Texas Tech Red Raiders spread -11
Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines
Indiana Hoosiers spread -7
NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal
NC State Wolfpack spread -7
Air Force Falcons @ Wyoming Cowboys
Air Force Falcons spread -4.5
Army Black Knights @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Tulsa Golden Hurricane spread -1.5
Duke Blue Devils @ Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers spread -1.5
UMass Minutemen @ UConn Huskies
UMass Minutemen spread +14.5
East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers spread -10