FIU -4.5 against Missouri State, and the money keeps coming.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Florida International Panthers -4.5 (moneyline -200)
- Market probability (margin removed): Florida International Panthers 64%, Missouri State Bears 36%
- Line since opening: Florida International Panthers -4 → -4.5 · Total 50 → 50
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Florida International Panthers -200 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Missouri State Bears +175 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Spread
- Florida International Panthers -4.5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Missouri State Bears +4.5 (-105) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 50
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -108 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Florida International hosts Missouri State Saturday with a number that's been moving all week. The Panthers opened -4 and sit at -4.5 now, with the moneyline climbing from -188 to -200. The market gives FIU a 64% chance with the margin stripped out, well short of a rout but clear enough that the books aren't hiding their lean.
The case for FIU starts at home. The Panthers are 3-1 in their own building and allow just 20.4 points per game, a defense that keeps them in every game. The problem is the other side of the ball: 18.9 points per game and a 3-game losing streak, with a 1-2-1 ATS mark that says the market has been ahead of this team. The 3-1 over/under record cuts the other way, a hint that these games have been tighter than the scoreboard suggests.
Missouri State brings the better offense at 24.4 points per game, but the road has been a wall. The Bears are 0-4 away from home and give up 30.9 per game, and they arrive on a 1-game win streak that masks a rough run of form. Their best argument is simple: they score more than FIU does, and a -4.5 line doesn't ask them to win, just to stay close.
The line tells its own story. Spread money pushed FIU from -4 to -4.5 and the moneyline from -188 to -200, while the total held at 50. Best prices: FIU -200 on the moneyline at BetAnything and Missouri State +175 at Everygame. On the spread, FIU -4.5 (-110) at BetAnything and the Bears +4.5 (-105) at BetOnline.ag. On the total of 50, the over is -110 at BetAnything and the under -108 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model, so this one is yours to call. Take the best number for your read.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 7, 3:02 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Missouri State Bears vs Florida International Panthers: FAQ
Who is favored in Missouri State Bears vs Florida International Panthers?+
Florida International Panthers: -4.5 on the spread and -200 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 64%.
What are the best odds for Missouri State Bears vs Florida International Panthers?+
When this analysis was written: Florida International Panthers -200 at BetAnything and Missouri State Bears +175 at Everygame on the moneyline; Florida International Panthers -4.5 (-110) at BetAnything and Missouri State Bears +4.5 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -108 at Bovada on the total of 50. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Florida International Panthers -4 and was -4.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 50 and was 50.
Does GODDS have a pick for Missouri State Bears vs Florida International Panthers?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
More NCAAF Picks
Recent Results
California Golden Bears @ SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs spread -19
Rice Owls @ Florida Atlantic Owls
Florida Atlantic Owls spread -8
Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Texas Tech Red Raiders spread -11
Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines
Indiana Hoosiers spread -7
NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford Cardinal
NC State Wolfpack spread -7
Air Force Falcons @ Wyoming Cowboys
Air Force Falcons spread -4.5
Army Black Knights @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Tulsa Golden Hurricane spread -1.5
Duke Blue Devils @ Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers spread -1.5
UMass Minutemen @ UConn Huskies
UMass Minutemen spread +14.5
East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers spread -10