San Jose State -12 against Northern Illinois, and the number keeps climbing.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: San Jose State Spartans -12 (moneyline -450)
- Market probability (margin removed): San Jose State Spartans 78%, Northern Illinois Huskies 22%
- Line since opening: San Jose State Spartans -10 → -12 · Total 52 → 52.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- San Jose State Spartans -400 at BetUSBet at BetUS →
- Northern Illinois Huskies +365 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- San Jose State Spartans -12 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Northern Illinois Huskies +12 (-108) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 52.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -108 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
San Jose State hosts Northern Illinois Saturday with the market firmly in the Spartans' corner. The spread sits at -12 after opening at -10, and the moneyline has moved from -400 to -450. With the margin removed, the market gives San Jose State a 78% chance and Northern Illinois 22%. That's a heavy price for a 4-5 team, and it's the central question of this game.
The Spartans' case is built on a defense allowing 22.3 points per game against a Northern Illinois offense scoring just 16.3. San Jose State is 2-0 against the spread this season, and the line movement says bettors expect the gap to widen. The Huskies are 0-8 and have lost eight straight, allowing 37.6 points per game. On the road they're 0-5. The Spartans' home record is 1-3, but the matchup profiles as a get-right spot.
Northern Illinois' best argument is simple: the number has gotten expensive. The Huskies are 1-0 against the spread, and a +12 line means they only need to stay within two scores. San Jose State scores 19.9 points per game, so covering 12 requires a multi-score cushion. The Huskies have been outscored badly, but the market has already adjusted from -10 to -12. The under has cashed in both San Jose State games with a total, and the total has moved from 52 to 52.5.
Best prices: moneyline San Jose State -400 at BetUS, Northern Illinois +365 at Bovada. Spread San Jose State -12 (-110) at BetAnything, Northern Illinois +12 (-108) at BetOnline.ag. Total 52.5: over -110 at BetAnything, under -108 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. Whatever your read, the best number is on the board.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 7, 3:03 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Jose State Spartans: FAQ
Who is favored in Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Jose State Spartans?+
San Jose State Spartans: -12 on the spread and -450 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 78%.
What are the best odds for Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Jose State Spartans?+
When this analysis was written: San Jose State Spartans -400 at BetUS and Northern Illinois Huskies +365 at Bovada on the moneyline; San Jose State Spartans -12 (-110) at BetAnything and Northern Illinois Huskies +12 (-108) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -108 at Bovada on the total of 52.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened San Jose State Spartans -10 and was -12 when this analysis was written; the total opened 52 and was 52.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Jose State Spartans?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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