Ohio State -14 vs Northwestern. The market has spoken, have you?

Ohio State hosts Northwestern as a -14 favorite, with the moneyline priced at -582 after sharp action. The market gives the Buckeyes an 82% chance to win outright, but that doesn't mean the spread is a lock. Both teams are 6-3 and both ride a two-game losing streak into Saturday, so the number is doing a lot of work.

Northwestern's case starts with its 4-1 ATS record and a defense allowing just 19.3 points per game. The Wildcats have covered in four of five lined games, and they've done it on the road, where they're 1-2 straight up but clearly competitive. A +14 line gives them room to absorb a couple of scores and still cash. Their +455 moneyline at MyBookie.ag is the best price if you think the losing streak ends in an upset.

Ohio State's argument is simple: 35.7 points per game and a 4-1 home record. The Buckeyes have won seven of their last ten outright, and the market has backed them from -12.5 to -14. Their -570 moneyline at BetOnline.ag is the cheapest price on the board. The concern is a defense allowing 18.3 points per game and a recent two-game skid that raises questions about margin.

The total has crashed from 47.5 to 44, and the best under price is -108 at Bovada. If you're on the over, -110 at BetAnything is the number. On the spread, -14 (-105) at BetOnline.ag is the best Buckeyes price, while +14 (-110) at BetAnything is the top Wildcats number.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in our model, so we're not forcing it. Take the best number for your read and let the market prove it wrong.