Ohio -13.5 at Akron, and the line keeps climbing

Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips, Tuesday night, and the market has made its call: Ohio -13.5, moneyline -540, an 81% implied probability with the margin removed. Akron is 1-7 and riding a six-game losing streak. The Bobcats are 6-2 and have won five straight. The gap is real, and the number reflects it.

The case for Ohio is simple. The Bobcats score 29.6 points per game and allow 21.9. They're 1-0 against the spread in the data set and 1-0 on the moneyline. They've won five in a row and eight of their last nine. That's a team playing clean football, and the market has moved the spread from -12.5 to -13.5 and the Akron moneyline from +370 to +410 since opening. Sharp money is on the favorite.

The case for Akron is thinner but not empty. The Zips are home, where they're 1-2, and they've had two weeks to sit with a six-game losing streak. They score 19.0 and allow 32.8, numbers that explain the record. But the total sits at 51, and Akron's one home win came in a game the market didn't see coming. If you're looking for the contrarian angle, it's the home dog catching two touchdowns, not the favorite laying them.

The number: Ohio -13.5 is the consensus, with BetAnything hanging -14. The best price on Ohio is -13.5 (-110) at MyBookie.ag. The best price on Akron is +13.5 (-108) at Bovada, and the best moneyline on the Zips is +420 at MyBookie.ag. Ohio's best moneyline is -540 at Bovada. The total is 51 across the board, with Over -110 at BetOnline.ag and Under -108 at Bovada. No significant movement on the total since opening.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in our model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.