North Texas -15 vs Rice, and the line keeps sliding.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: North Texas Mean Green -15 (moneyline -677)
- Market probability (margin removed): North Texas Mean Green 84%, Rice Owls 16%
- Line since opening: North Texas Mean Green -17 → -15 · Total 64 → 65.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- North Texas Mean Green -650 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Rice Owls +525 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- North Texas Mean Green -15 (-107) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Rice Owls +15 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 65.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -105 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
North Texas is 6-2 and 4-0 at home, riding a 5-game win streak into Saturday. Rice is 1-7 and 0-4 on the road, losers of 7 straight. The market prices North Texas -15 and -677 on the moneyline, an 84% implied probability with the margin removed. That's the number, not a verdict.
The case for North Texas starts with scoring: 43.8 points per game against 31.9 allowed. The Mean Green have won 5 in a row and haven't lost at home. But they're 0-2 against the spread, a 0% cover rate, and the spread has moved from -17 to -15. The market is telling you the price was too high, even for a team scoring in the 40s.
The case for Rice is the number itself. The Owls are 2-1 against the spread, a 67% cover rate, and the moneyline has moved from -900 to -677, sharp money on the road underdog. Rice scores just 21.0 per game and allows 31.8, so the argument is about the points, not the win. The total has moved from 64 to 65.5, toward the over.
Best prices: North Texas -650 on the moneyline at BetAnything, Rice +525 at Bovada. Spread: North Texas -15 (-107) at BetOnline.ag, Rice +15 (-110) at BetAnything. Total 65.5: Over -110 at BetAnything, Under -105 at BetOnline.ag.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model, so there's no play here. If you have a read, take the best number for it.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 7, 3:03 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green: FAQ
Who is favored in Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?+
North Texas Mean Green: -15 on the spread and -677 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 84%.
What are the best odds for Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?+
When this analysis was written: North Texas Mean Green -650 at BetAnything and Rice Owls +525 at Bovada on the moneyline; North Texas Mean Green -15 (-107) at BetOnline.ag and Rice Owls +15 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -105 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 65.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened North Texas Mean Green -17 and was -15 when this analysis was written; the total opened 64 and was 65.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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