SMU -10.5 at Syracuse, and the line keeps moving toward the Mustangs.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: SMU Mustangs -10.5 (moneyline -380)
- Market probability (margin removed): Syracuse Orange 24%, SMU Mustangs 76%
- Line since opening: SMU Mustangs -9 → -10.5 · Total 58.5 → 58
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Syracuse Orange +320 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- SMU Mustangs -380 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Syracuse Orange +10.5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- SMU Mustangs -10.5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 58
- Over -112 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -105 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
SMU brings a 6-1 record and a four-game win streak into Syracuse, and the market has made the Mustangs a clear favorite. The spread sits at SMU -10.5 after opening at -9, and the moneyline has moved from +277 to +301 on the Orange, with sharp money on SMU. The market probability, margin removed, is Syracuse 24%, SMU 76%. That's a big number for a road team in conference play, and it's the reason this game draws attention.
The case for SMU is straightforward. The Mustangs score 36.4 points per game and allow just 21.1, a differential that ranks among the best in the country. They've won four straight and eight of their last nine, and their only loss came early. The offense travels, and the defense has been steady. The market has bought in, and the line move confirms it.
The case for Syracuse starts with home field and a offense that puts up 31.6 points per game. The Orange are 3-4 but have won two of their last three, including a win in their most recent game. They've been competitive at home, and a two-score spread gives them room. The ATS record is 0-2, but that's a small sample, and the home crowd on a Saturday can matter.
The number has moved from SMU -9 to -10.5, and the total has stayed at 58. For the best price on Syracuse, BetAnything has +320 on the moneyline. For SMU, Bovada has -380. On the spread, BetAnything has Syracuse +10.5 (-110) and SMU -10.5 (-110). For the total, Bovada has Over 58 (-112) and BetOnline.ag has Under 58 (-105).
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play. Shop the best number for your read.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 30, 6:11 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange: FAQ
Who is favored in SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange?+
SMU Mustangs: -10.5 on the spread and -380 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 76%.
What are the best odds for SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange?+
When this analysis was written: Syracuse Orange +320 at BetAnything and SMU Mustangs -380 at Bovada on the moneyline; Syracuse Orange +10.5 (-110) at BetAnything and SMU Mustangs -10.5 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -112 at Bovada and Under -105 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 58. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened SMU Mustangs -9 and was -10.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 58.5 and was 58.
Does GODDS have a pick for SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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