Texas State -10 at San Diego State: The Aztecs Can't Stop This

The God of Odds likes Texas State -10 at MyBookie.ag. Hammer it before the number climbs again.

The Bobcats are rolling. Three straight wins, a 2-2 record built on an offense that puts up 36.3 points per game. That scoring edge of plus-13.3 over San Diego State is the whole story here. The Aztecs are 1-3, losers of four of their last five, and they're allowing 28.8 points per game. You don't need a calculator to see where this is headed.

San Diego State's only win came at home, but that was against a team they could actually score on. Texas State brings a different level of firepower. The Bobcats have scored at will during this win streak, and the Aztecs have no answer on defense. San Diego State is 0-1 against the spread this season. They haven't covered a number yet.

The line tells you everything. It opened at Texas State -4.5 and has been bet all the way up to -10. That's a 5.5-point move, and it didn't happen by accident. Sharp money is on the Bobcats, and the moneyline has moved from +160 to +296 on San Diego State, which means nobody wants to touch the Aztecs. When the market moves this hard in one direction, you follow it.

MyBookie.ag is offering Texas State -10 at -110, the best price on the board. Bovada has the Bobcats at -9.5, but you're laying more juice for a half-point you don't need. Everygame, BetUS, and BetAnything are all sitting at -10, so MyBookie is your best bet. The total has dropped from 59.5 to 57.5, another sign that the market expects Texas State to control this game and keep San Diego State's offense off the field.

The Aztecs are 0-1 in moneyline decisions and 0-1 against the spread. They're not covering, they're not winning, and they're not stopping anyone. Texas State is the play. Lay the points with confidence.