Oklahoma State -4 vs Texas Tech, and the line keeps climbing
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Oklahoma State Cowboys -4 (moneyline -186)
- Market probability (margin removed): Oklahoma State Cowboys 63%, Texas Tech Red Raiders 37%
- Line since opening: Oklahoma State Cowboys -3.5 → -4 · Total 73 → 74
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Oklahoma State Cowboys -175 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Texas Tech Red Raiders +165 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Spread
- Oklahoma State Cowboys -4 (-108) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Texas Tech Red Raiders +4 (-105) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 74
- Over -108 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
Oklahoma State and Texas Tech meet Saturday with the market firmly on the Cowboys. The spread sits at -4 after opening at -3.5, the total climbed from 73 to 74, and the moneyline moved from -175 to -186. With the margin removed, the market gives Oklahoma State a 63% chance. That's a clear lean, not a landslide, and it's why this game stays off the pick sheet.
The case for Oklahoma State starts at home, where the Cowboys are 4-0. They're scoring 43.9 points per game, and their betting profile is as clean as it gets: 3-0 against the spread, 3-0 on the moneyline, and 3-0 on the over. They've won three of their last four and come in on a one-game win streak. A team putting up that many points at home with a perfect cover rate is exactly why the number keeps moving toward them.
The case for Texas Tech is the record and the defense. The Red Raiders are 8-1, riding a two-game win streak and winners of nine of their last ten. They allow 24.1 points per game, more than three fewer than Oklahoma State's 27.2, and they've hit the over in all four of their O/U results. Their ATS mark is 2-2, so they haven't been a reliable cover, but an 8-1 team catching points on the road is a real argument for the dog.
On the moneyline, Oklahoma State is -175 at Everygame and Texas Tech is +165 at BetOnline.ag. On the spread, Oklahoma State -4 (-108) at Bovada and Texas Tech +4 (-105) at BetAnything. On the total, the over 74 (-108) at Bovada and the under -110 at MyBookie.ag. The line has moved toward the Cowboys and the over since opening, and the best prices are scattered across the board.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. Whatever your read is, take the best number available for it.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 7:58 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys: FAQ
Who is favored in Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys?+
Oklahoma State Cowboys: -4 on the spread and -186 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 63%.
What are the best odds for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys?+
When this analysis was written: Oklahoma State Cowboys -175 at Everygame and Texas Tech Red Raiders +165 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Oklahoma State Cowboys -4 (-108) at Bovada and Texas Tech Red Raiders +4 (-105) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -108 at Bovada and Under -110 at MyBookie.ag on the total of 74. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Oklahoma State Cowboys -3.5 and was -4 when this analysis was written; the total opened 73 and was 74.
Does GODDS have a pick for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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