Utah -1.5 at Arizona, and the line keeps shrinking
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Utah Utes -1.5 (moneyline -125)
- Market probability (margin removed): Arizona Wildcats 47%, Utah Utes 53%
- Line since opening: Utah Utes -2.5 → -1.5 · Total 53.5 → 55.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Arizona Wildcats +110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Utah Utes -122 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Arizona Wildcats +1.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Utah Utes -1.5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 55.5
- Over -108 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Utah walks into Tucson undefeated and favored, but the market isn't convinced. The Utes are -1.5 with a moneyline around -125, and when GODDS strips out the margin, this prices as 53% Utah, 47% Arizona. That's a coin flip dressed up as a road favorite. Nine wins and a 9-game streak earn you a number, not a cushion.
The case for Utah is the résumé. 9-0, 3-0 on the road, 37.7 points per game against 16.3 allowed. The Utes are 3-0 against the spread and 3-0 on the moneyline in the games tracked here, and they've won all ten of their last ten. A team that covers every week and scores in the high 30s is a problem for anyone.
The case for Arizona is home field and a defense that keeps games close. The Wildcats are 7-2, 5-0 in Tucson, and allow just 19.9 points per game while scoring 34.2. Their last ten reads W-L-W-W-W-W-W-L-W-W. The blemish is the 2-3 ATS mark, which tells you they win but don't always separate. At home, they haven't had to.
The number has moved toward Arizona all week. The spread went from Utah -2.5 to -1.5, the total climbed from 53.5 to 55.5, and Arizona's moneyline shortened from +112 to +105. Sharp money is on the home dog. Best prices: Arizona +110 on the moneyline at BetOnline.ag, Utah -122 at Bovada. On the spread, Arizona +1.5 (-105) at Bovada, Utah -1.5 (-110) at BetAnything. On the total, Over 55.5 (-108) at Bovada, Under 55.5 (-110) at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side clears 70% in the model, so there's no call to make. Whichever way you read it, take the best number on the board.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 7:58 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Utah Utes vs Arizona Wildcats: FAQ
Who is favored in Utah Utes vs Arizona Wildcats?+
Utah Utes: -1.5 on the spread and -125 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 53%.
What are the best odds for Utah Utes vs Arizona Wildcats?+
When this analysis was written: Arizona Wildcats +110 at BetOnline.ag and Utah Utes -122 at Bovada on the moneyline; Arizona Wildcats +1.5 (-105) at Bovada and Utah Utes -1.5 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -108 at Bovada and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 55.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Utah Utes -2.5 and was -1.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 53.5 and was 55.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Utah Utes vs Arizona Wildcats?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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