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Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

Bears -6 vs. Buccaneers: Chicago's 3-game win streak meets Tampa's 2-game run.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Chicago Bears -6 (moneyline -270)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Chicago Bears 70%, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30%
  • Line since opening: Chicago Bears -6 → -6 · Total 48.5 → 47.5

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Spread

Total 47.5

The Bears host the Buccaneers as -6 favorites, with the moneyline at -270 and the market giving Chicago a 70% chance with the margin removed. Tampa Bay sits at +6 and +240 on the moneyline. The total opened at 48.5 and has moved to 47.5, so the market is leaning toward a lower-scoring game than it did at open.

Chicago's case is built on a 6-2 record, a 3-1 home mark, and a 3-game win streak. The Bears score 26.8 PPG and allow 20.0, and they've covered in 5 of 7 games (71%). Their moneyline record is 5-2, and they've won three straight. The injuries are real: Zavier Scott (RB), Kentavius Street (DT) and Braxton Jones (OT) are out or doubtful, with Tyrique Stevenson Sr. (CB), Malik Muhammad II (CB) and Kyle Monangai (RB) questionable.

Tampa Bay's case: the Bucs are 3-5 but 2-1 on the road and riding a 2-game win streak. They allow just 18.9 PPG while scoring 22.3, a scoring margin that's better than their record suggests. Their ATS record is 3-4 (43%), and the O/U has gone over in 4 of 7. Jalen McMillan (WR), Yaya Diaby (LB) and Josh Hayes (CB) are out or doubtful; Emeka Egbuka (WR) is questionable.

The spread hasn't moved off -6 since opening. The total has dropped a full point, from 48.5 to 47.5. Best prices: Chicago ML -270 at BetAnything; Tampa Bay ML +240 at Everygame. Spread: Chicago -6 (-108) at Bovada; Tampa Bay +6 (-109) at BetOnline.ag. Total: Over -110 at BetAnything; Under -108 at Bovada.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. Whatever your read is, the best number is on the board above.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookBuccaneersBearsSpreadO/U
BetUS
BetOnline.ag
MyBookie.ag
BetAnything
Bovada
Everygame
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair+231-231-6.5(+110)47.5(O-102)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 7, 7:26 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears: FAQ

Who is favored in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?+

Chicago Bears: -6 on the spread and -270 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 70%.

What are the best odds for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?+

When this analysis was written: Chicago Bears -270 at BetAnything and Tampa Bay Buccaneers +240 at Everygame on the moneyline; Chicago Bears -6 (-108) at Bovada and Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 (-109) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -108 at Bovada on the total of 47.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Chicago Bears -6 and was -6 when this analysis was written; the total opened 48.5 and was 47.5.

Does GODDS have a pick for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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