Red Wings -1.5 against the Blackhawks. The total keeps sliding.

Detroit hosts Chicago with a moneyline that says the Red Wings should win, but the price has been drifting the other way all week. The Red Wings are -160 on the moneyline, and the market gives them a 59% chance with the margin removed. That's a favorite the books believe in, just not a favorite they're willing to price at a premium.

The case for Detroit starts with the goal differential. The Red Wings score 2.8 per game and allow 3.1, and they're on a 1-game win streak after a 5-4-0 start. Their last 10 reads W-L-L-L-W-W-L-W-L-W, which is a team that hasn't strung together a run but hasn't sunk either. The problem is the blue line: Albert Johansson and Simon Edvinsson are both out or doubtful on defense, and Mason Appleton and Marco Kasper are in the same bucket at forward. That's four regulars, and it matters against a team that just hung five on Detroit in their last meeting.

The case for Chicago is the price and the history. The Blackhawks are 4-8-0, allowing 3.7 per game, but they won 5-1 in Detroit on Nov. 9 and got shut out 4-0 in the return. The head-to-head is 1-1 in the last two. At +140, Chicago doesn't need to be the better team, it needs to be the team that shows up on the right night.

The number tells the story. The total opened at 6 and sits at 5.5, and the moneyline moved from -170 to -160, which is sharp money on Chicago. The best moneyline prices are Detroit -153 at BetOnline.ag and Chicago +140 at BetAnything. On the spread, Detroit -1.5 is +165 at BetOnline.ag and Chicago +1.5 is -190 at BetAnything. On the total, Over 5.5 is -115 at BetOnline.ag and Under 5.5 is +101 at MyBookie.ag.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.