Sabres -1.5 against the Blue Jackets, and the moneyline is drifting.

Buffalo Sabres -1.5 and -170 on the moneyline. Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5 and +149. The market gives Buffalo a 61% chance with the margin removed, and that's the whole story of this one: a home favorite priced like a favorite, but not like a lock.

The case for Buffalo starts with the only number that matters on the scoreboard: 2.9 goals per game against 3.0 allowed for Columbus. The Sabres are 7-5-0 and 1-0-0 against the spread in a small sample, and they've won three of their last four after a three-game skid. The concern is real, though. Buffalo has five players listed out or doubtful, including a goalie and two defensemen, and that's a lot of lineup to replace against a team that's won two straight.

Columbus brings the 7-7-0 record and a two-game win streak, plus a 2-1 edge in the last three meetings. The Blue Jackets score 2.7 and allow 3.0, so the gap between these teams is thinner than the price suggests. Their moneyline record is 0-3 and they've covered just 1 of 3 against the spread, which is the counterweight. The case for Columbus is simple: the price is climbing in their direction.

The moneyline opened at -177 and sits at -170, so the sharp money is on Columbus. The spread hasn't moved off -1.5 and the total is stuck at 6.5. Best prices: Buffalo -165 at Everygame, Columbus +149 at BetOnline.ag. On the spread, Buffalo -1.5 at +150 at Bovada and Columbus +1.5 at -166 at BetUS. On the total, Over +101 at BetOnline.ag and Under -115 at Everygame.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. Whatever your read is, the best number is on the board above.