Stars -1.5 against the Blue Jackets. The market sees a close one.

Dallas Stars -1.5 at home against the Columbus Blue Jackets. The market prices the Stars at -185 on the moneyline, and with the margin removed, that's a 63% chance for Dallas and 37% for Columbus. That's a real favorite, but not a runaway one. The total sits at 5.5 and hasn't moved since opening.

The case for Dallas starts with the record: 7-5-0, 2.7 goals per game, 2.3 allowed. The Stars have won five of their last 10, but they're on a two-game losing streak and carry a 1-3-0 ATS record. Their over/under record is 0-4-0, which tells you the market has consistently set totals higher than these games have produced. The injury report is heavy: Radek Faksa, Kyle Capobianco, Esa Lindell, Luke Krys, Oskar Back, and Matt Duchene are all out or doubtful. That's a lot of lineup to replace.

The case for Columbus is simpler: they've beaten Dallas twice in the last two meetings, including a 5-1 win on October 21 and a 1-0 shutout on January 22. The Blue Jackets are 5-6-0, scoring 2.5 per game and allowing 3.3, with a 1-1-0 ATS record. They've lost one in a row and are 0-2 on the moneyline. The head-to-head record is the strongest argument they have.

The line hasn't moved: Dallas remains -1.5 and the total is 5.5. For the moneyline, the best price on Dallas is -180 at BetUS, and the best on Columbus is +165 at BetAnything. On the spread, Dallas -1.5 is +145 at BetOnline.ag, and Columbus +1.5 is -165 at BetAnything. On the total, the over is +104 at BetOnline.ag and the under is -115 at Bovada.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model. For whatever your read is, the best number is above.