WINNER - Imanol Rodriguez moneyline
Final: Imanol Rodriguez def. Alden Coria
+0.71u
Profit
✅ Rodriguez Moneyline Cashes at -140: The Market Never Moved, and Neither Did We
Godds Pick
Imanol Rodriguez ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -135 at BetOnline.ag
Imanol Rodriguez enters at 7-1-0 and the market still hands you a discount. Alden Coria is 13-3-0, a live veteran, but the moneyline moved against Rodriguez and left -135 sitting at BetOnline. The UFC moderate favorite at -140 consensus is exactly the price range where the sharper number wins.
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Pick Cashed
Final: Imanol Rodriguez def. Alden Coria • Imanol Rodriguez moneyline ML
+0.71u
⚡ Why It Hit
Rodriguez's superior form and composure carried him to a decision win, validating the -140 moneyline. The line never moved, meaning the market agreed with our read from the start. A clean, low-variance win on a fair price.
Post-Game Analysis
✅ WIN: Imanol Rodriguez def. Alden Coria by decision, and the moneyline at **-140** cashed.
We took Rodriguez at **-140**, and it closed at **-140**. No move. The market never blinked, and neither did we. That's not a flashy win, but it's a clean one. When you bet a number and the closing line lands exactly where you bought it, you didn't beat the market, but you didn't chase it either. You were on the right side from the jump.
Rodriguez walked in at **7-1-0**, and that record wasn't a fluke. He fought a composed fight, controlled the pace, and never let Coria's **13-3-0** record dictate the terms. The price was fair, the form was real, and the result followed the script. Sometimes the sharp play is the obvious one, and you just have to trust it.
This is what a 3/5 confidence bet looks like when it hits: no drama, no sweat, just a solid read on a fighter who was better than the number suggested. **BetOnline.ag** had the best price at **-135** pre-fight, and it stayed playable all the way to the bell.
The God of Odds delivers again.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes Imanol Rodriguez on the moneyline at -135, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it.
Rodriguez walks into this one at 7-1-0. That's a fighter who has lost exactly once in eight trips to the cage, and he's still sitting as a moderate favorite rather than a priced-up darling. That matters. The market isn't asking you to pay a premium for the better form; it's asking you to pay a fair toll and walk through.
Alden Coria is no pushover. 13-3-0 is a real record built over real fights, and anyone with 16 professional appearances has seen the ugly rounds that prospects haven't. But here's the tell: Coria's line has drifted to +122 at Bovada while Rodriguez sits at -135 at BetOnline. The gap between those two numbers is the market telling you where the conviction lives, and it isn't on the underdog side.
Look at the consensus. The UFC moderate favorite is priced at -140 across the board, and BetAnything is hanging -140 while Bovada wants -142. BetOnline is the outlier at -135. That's not a rounding error. On a $100 ticket that's real money back in your pocket, and on a favorite you're already laying juice on, every cent of chalk you avoid is profit you keep.
The line movement against Rodriguez is the part most bettors misread. Money came in on Coria, the number nudged, and the price on the better fighter got softer. That's not a warning sign. That's the window. When a 7-1-0 fighter with the better recent form gets cheaper because the public likes a name, you take the discount and you don't overthink it.
Confidence sits at 3/5. This is a solid play, not a mortgage payment. Coria has the experience to make this uncomfortable, and 16 fights is 16 fights. But the record edge, the form edge, and the price edge all point the same direction.
Rodriguez at -135 on BetOnline. Take the number before it corrects back to -140.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Oct 2, 12:11 PM ET — lines may have moved

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