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Harrison -168 against Nunes, and the line is already slipping.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Kayla Harrison (moneyline -168)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Kayla Harrison 60%, Amanda Nunes 40%

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Kayla Harrison steps in at -168 against Amanda Nunes, and the market gives her a 60% chance with the margin removed. That number is the whole story here. It's a favorite's price, not a formality, and the gap between 60% and the 70% bar is exactly why this fight is worth your attention.

Harrison's case is her record: 19-1-0. One loss in twenty fights. She's been the hammer in almost every appearance, and the books still list her as the favorite across the board. When a fighter with that résumé is priced at -168, the market is telling you it respects the body of work but sees a live opponent in front of her.

Nunes brings 23-5-0 into the cage. Five losses is not a flaw, it's a career. She's been in deep water and come out the other side, and the sharp money noticed. The opener had Harrison at -195; it's now -168. That's a real move toward Nunes, and it reflects bettors who study tape, not headlines.

The best prices are at BetOnline.ag: Harrison -166, Nunes +146. Bovada has Harrison -168 and Nunes +142; BetAnything has Harrison -170 and Nunes +140. If your read is Harrison, -166 is the number to take. If it's Nunes, +146 is the top of the market.

GODDS has no pick on this fight. Neither side reaches 70% in the model, and we don't force a call that isn't there. The market says 60/40. Your read decides the rest.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookNunesHarrison
BetOnline.ag
Bovada
BetAnything
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair+148-148

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 13, 6:29 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison: FAQ

Who is favored in Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison?+

Kayla Harrison: -168 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 60%.

What are the best odds for Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison?+

When this analysis was written: Kayla Harrison -166 at BetOnline.ag and Amanda Nunes +146 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

Does GODDS have a pick for Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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