LOSS - Erin Blanchfield moneyline
Final: Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Erin Blanchfield
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Blanchfield Moneyline Busts: We Ignored the Close
Godds Pick
Erin Blanchfield ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -320 at BetOnline.ag
Blanchfield brings a 14-2-0 record into a fight where the line has moved toward her at every book, sitting at -320 at BetOnline.ag. Jasudavicius is a live 15-4-0 opponent, but the market has made its stance clear and the price is only getting shorter.
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Pick Missed
Final: Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Erin Blanchfield • Erin Blanchfield moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
Blanchfield lost outright as a -322 favorite, and the line closed at -315, meaning the market moved against us before the fight. We overvalued her 14-2-0 record against a live opponent in Jasudavicius. The pick missed because we ignored the closing line signal and the thin value at that price.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Erin Blanchfield, and our Erin Blanchfield moneyline at -322 is a bust.
We took Blanchfield at -322 and the line closed at -315. That's a worse price than the close, meaning the market moved away from us. We were on the wrong side of the number, and the result confirmed it. Blanchfield's 14-2-0 record looked like the foundation of a lock, but records don't fight. Jasudavicius, 15-4-0, was live from the start, and Blanchfield couldn't impose her will. The gap between a tough out and a fighter who actually wins was smaller than the price suggested.
This one stings because we ignored the warning signs. A -322 favorite in a fight where the opponent has real wins is a thin edge, and the closing line told us the sharp money agreed. We paid for the privilege of being on the public side.
The takeaway: never confuse a glossy record with a pricing advantage, especially when the market moves against you before the bell.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes Erin Blanchfield on the moneyline at -320, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it.
Blanchfield walks into this fight at 14-2-0. That's the whole argument in one number. Two losses in sixteen professional fights, and the market has spent the entire build treating her like the side that wins. Jasudavicius is no pushover at 15-4-0, a veteran with real wins on her record, and that's exactly why this line isn't -600. But there's a gap between a tough out and a fighter who actually gets the job done, and the oddsmakers have drawn that line clearly.
The number has moved our way. Blanchfield opened shorter than where she sits now across the board, and the sharp money has kept coming on the Jasudavicius side just enough to hold the price in the -320 range instead of letting it balloon. That's a gift. You're getting a fighter with a 14-2-0 record at a price that reflects respect for her opponent, not doubt about her.
Jasudavicius at 15-4-0 has taken four losses for a reason. She's fought good competition and lost to it. Blanchfield is the better fighter, she's younger in her career, and she's the one the books trust to close this out. When a strong favorite with a record like this sits at -320 instead of -400, you take it.
Here's where you bet it. BetOnline.ag has Blanchfield at -320, the best price on the board. BetUS is also at -320, but Bovada has her at -330 and BetAnything at -325. That's real money you're saving by shopping. On a $100 bet, the difference between -320 and -330 is a few bucks, and over a card full of favorites, that adds up fast.
This isn't a coin flip. It's a 14-2-0 fighter against a 15-4-0 opponent, and the oddsmakers know which one wins. Take the -320 at BetOnline.ag and let the record speak.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Oct 16, 4:52 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Erin Blanchfield: FAQ
Who should I bet on in Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Erin Blanchfield?+
GODDS AI recommends Erin Blanchfield ML with 3/5 confidence. Erin Blanchfield (14-2-0) is -320 to beat Jasmine Jasudavicius (15-4-0) at UFC. BetOnline.ag has the best price. Here's why the favorite is the play.
What are the odds for Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Erin Blanchfield?+
When the pick was made, the best odds for Erin Blanchfield ML in Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Erin Blanchfield were -320 at BetOnline.ag. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks to find the best number.
What is the GODDS pick for Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Erin Blanchfield?+
GODDS picks Erin Blanchfield moneyline at -322, the price its result is graded at, with 3/5 confidence.

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