LOSS - Leon Shahbazyan moneyline
Final: Niko Price def. Leon Shahbazyan
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Shahbazyan Moneyline at -146: The Record Was a Story, Not a Stat
Godds Pick
Leon Shahbazyan ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -145 at BetUS
Shahbazyan is 12-5-0 while Price sits at 16-11-0, and the moneyline has moved toward the favorite at every book on the board. At -145 at BetUS, you're paying the shortest price on the market for the side the sharps are backing.
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Pick Missed
Final: Niko Price def. Leon Shahbazyan • Leon Shahbazyan moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The pick missed because we leaned on Shahbazyan's 12-5-0 record against Price's 16-11-0 mark and treated Price's 11 losses as proof he was washed. Price's 27 fights of experience won out, and the -146 price on Shahbazyan never reflected the real gap in cage IQ. Record comparison alone isn't enough when one side has been through the fire.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: Niko Price def. Leon Shahbazyan, and the Shahbazyan moneyline at -146 goes in the loss column.
The God of Odds backed the younger, fresher fighter at 12-5-0 against a 16-11-0 veteran with 27 fights on his odometer. The records said Shahbazyan. The cage said Price. That's the sport. Price's 11 losses were the number that sold the pick, and it was the wrong number to trust. A veteran with that many fights doesn't fold because the ledger looks ugly. He knows the angles a younger fighter hasn't learned yet, and Saturday night he used them.
The line told us the market saw Shahbazyan as the sharper side at -146. It was wrong, and so were we. When a grizzled name with double-digit losses is still getting respect from the books, that's not a trap. That's information.
THE TAKEAWAY: A pretty record against a battle-tested veteran is a story, not a stat. Next time the ledger looks lopsided, check who's actually been in the deep water.
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The God of Odds likes Leon Shahbazyan at -145 on the moneyline, and BetUS is the place to hammer it.
Shahbazyan walks into Saturday night at 12-5-0. Niko Price walks in at 16-11-0. Read those two records side by side and the story writes itself. Price is a grizzled veteran with 27 fights on his odometer and 11 losses on his ledger. Shahbazyan is the younger, fresher side with a record that's trending in the right direction. The books know it, and so does the money.
The line movement is the tell here. Shahbazyan opened as a moderate favorite and the number has only gotten shorter across the board. BetOnline has him at -155. Bovada sits at -147. BetAnything and BetUS both have him at -145. That's not random noise. That's sharp money stepping in on the favorite and the market adjusting in real time. When multiple offshore books tighten the same side, you're watching professional bettors do their work.
Price at 16-11-0 isn't a pushover. He's been in the cage with real competition and he's won more than he's lost. But 11 defeats is 11 defeats, and the market has priced that reality into every number on the screen. The gap between these two fighters is real, and the oddsmakers have drawn the line accordingly.
Here's the honest part. This is MMA. One clean shot changes everything, and that's why the confidence sits at 3 out of 5 instead of higher. You don't bet combat sports like you bet a basketball game with a 20-point cushion. You bet the side with the better record, the better trajectory, and the market's endorsement. Shahbazyan checks all three boxes.
The play is simple. BetUS offers -145, which is the best price available anywhere on the board. BetOnline is charging -155 for the exact same bet. That 10-cent difference matters over a season of action. Take the shorter number, back the younger fighter with the cleaner record, and let the sharp money carry you home.
Shahbazyan at -145. BetUS. Get it before the number moves again.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Oct 9, 12:55 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Leon Shahbazyan vs Niko Price: FAQ
Who should I bet on in Leon Shahbazyan vs Niko Price?+
GODDS AI recommends Leon Shahbazyan ML with 3/5 confidence. Leon Shahbazyan (-145) vs Niko Price UFC pick for October 10, 2026. Shahbazyan's 12-5-0 record and sharp line movement make him the moneyline play at BetUS.
What are the odds for Leon Shahbazyan vs Niko Price?+
When the pick was made, the best odds for Leon Shahbazyan ML in Leon Shahbazyan vs Niko Price were -145 at BetUS. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks to find the best number.
What is the GODDS pick for Leon Shahbazyan vs Niko Price?+
GODDS picks Leon Shahbazyan moneyline at -146, the price its result is graded at, with 3/5 confidence.

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