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Mckinney -210 against Miller, and the market has its number.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Terrance Mckinney (moneyline -210)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Jim Miller 35%, Terrance Mckinney 65%

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Terrance Mckinney walks in at -210, Jim Miller at +180. The market gives Mckinney a 65% chance with the margin removed, Miller 35%. That's a clear favorite, but it's not a runaway. This is a fight where the tape and the records tell two different stories, and bettors have to decide which one they trust.

Mckinney's case is the record: 18-9-0. He's the younger, fresher fighter on paper, and the market has priced him as the side with more upside. At -210, the books are saying he's the more likely winner, but they're not asking you to lay a massive number. That's a price that reflects respect, not certainty.

Miller's case is simple: 39-19-0. That's 58 professional fights. He's been in every kind of bout, against every level of opponent, and he's still here. The +180 price says the market sees him as the underdog, but a veteran with that many rounds in the cage is never a free square for the favorite. If you think experience and durability matter more than the odds board, Miller's number is sitting there.

The line hasn't moved off its opening range: BetOnline.ag has Miller +180 and Mckinney -210, Bovada has Miller +173 and Mckinney -205, and BetAnything has Miller +180 and Mckinney -215. The best price on Miller is +180 at BetAnything. The best price on Mckinney is -205 at Bovada. If you're playing the favorite, Bovada saves you a few cents. If you're on the dog, BetAnything gives you the full number.

GODDS has no pick on this fight. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play to hand you. The market says Mckinney, the record says Miller has seen it all. Make your call, and take the best number for it.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookMckinneyMiller
BetOnline.ag
Bovada
BetAnything
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair-183+183

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 13, 12:37 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Terrance Mckinney vs Jim Miller: FAQ

Who is favored in Terrance Mckinney vs Jim Miller?+

Terrance Mckinney: -210 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 65%.

What are the best odds for Terrance Mckinney vs Jim Miller?+

When this analysis was written: Jim Miller +180 at BetAnything and Terrance Mckinney -205 at Bovada on the moneyline. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

Does GODDS have a pick for Terrance Mckinney vs Jim Miller?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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