LOSS - St. Louis Cardinals moneyline
Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 4, St. Louis Cardinals 3
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Cardinals Moneyline Falls 4-3: One Run Short
Godds Pick
St. Louis Cardinals ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -108 at LowVig.ag
Cardinals are 42-34 with a strong home record of 22-17. Diamondbacks are .500 and just 15-22 on the road, missing three key relievers. LowVig offers the best moneyline price at -108.
Bet at LowVig.ag →Community Pulse
Pick Missed
Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 4, St. Louis Cardinals 3 • St. Louis Cardinals moneyline ML
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The Cardinals lost by one run despite being the better team on paper. They matched their season averages in runs scored and allowed, but Arizona's offense outperformed expectations. The pick was sound, but variance in a single game cost us.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: Cardinals fall 4-3, our -108 moneyline pick misses by a single run.
This one hurt because everything pointed to a St. Louis win. The Cardinals had the home field advantage at Busch Stadium where they're 22-17. They were the better team at 42-34 against Arizona's .500 record. But baseball is a game of inches, and the Diamondbacks scratched out one more run.
The Cardinals scored 3 runs on 8 hits, which is exactly their season average. The problem was Arizona's 4 runs on 10 hits. That's the difference between a cover and a loss. Our analysis noted the Cardinals allow 4.6 runs per game, and they allowed exactly that. The Diamondbacks just happened to score one more.
This loss stings but it doesn't break the model. The Cardinals were the right side on paper. Sometimes the baseball gods just don't cooperate.
The takeaway: Stick with the process. One-run losses happen in MLB, but the Cardinals' home record and overall form still make them a profitable team to back in similar spots.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the St. Louis Cardinals at -108 and LowVig is the place to hammer it.
The Cardinals sit at 42-34, and they've been tough at Busch Stadium with a 22-17 home record. Their last 10 games show a pattern of resilience: L-W-L-W-W-L-L-L-W-W. They're scoring 4.6 runs per game and allowing the same, which tells you they're competitive in tight spots. The Diamondbacks, meanwhile, are exactly .500 at 39-39 and a miserable 15-22 on the road. Their last 10? W-L-W-W-L-W-W-L-L-L. That's a team trending the wrong direction.
But the real edge here is Arizona's injury report. Three key relievers are out or doubtful: Derek Law, Kyle Amendt, and Tommy Henry. That's a gutted bullpen for a team that already allows 4.6 runs per game. The Diamondbacks' ERA sits at 4.29, barely better than the Cardinals' 4.26, but with those arms missing, expect the Cards to tee off late. The line hasn't moved, which means sharp money hasn't hammered it yet, but the value is still there.
LowVig has the best moneyline price at -108. Every other book is at -110 or worse. That two-cent difference adds up over a season. Lock in the Cardinals at home against a reeling, short-handed opponent. This is a solid 3-star play with a clear path to cash.
Bet the Cardinals at LowVig and let the home crowd do the rest.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Jun 23, 6:20 PM ET — lines may have moved
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