Twins +109 at Blue Jays. The market is fading them, I'm buying.
Godds Pick
Minnesota Twins ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +110 at GTbets
The Twins have the better season record at 8-7, they're scoring 4.7 PPG to Toronto's 3.9, and they've won 8 of their last 10 games. The line moved against them from -110 to -120, creating value on the dog.
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The God of Odds likes the Minnesota Twins moneyline at +109, and GTbets is the place to hammer it.
This is a classic fade the favorite spot. The Blue Jays are 6-8 on the season and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. They're scoring just 3.9 runs per game and allowing 5.3. Their moneyline record is a brutal 2-38. That's not a typo. They win outright less than 6% of the time. Meanwhile, the Twins are 8-7, they're averaging 4.7 runs per game, and they've won 8 of their last 10. Their 8-12 moneyline record is far more respectable.
Yes, the Twins have four key players listed as out or doubtful, including Matt Canterino and Walker Jenkins. The Blue Jays have three, including George Springer. But the market has overreacted to that injury news. Sharp money pushed the line from -110 to -120 on Toronto. When the public sees a line move like that, they pile on the favorite. That's exactly when you take the dog.
We're getting the best price at GTbets with +110. Every other major book is offering +109 or worse. In a game where the favorite has shown they can't close, and the underdog has the better form and scoring output, taking the plus money is the only sharp play.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Apr 12, 6:50 AM ET — lines may have moved

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