Yankees -112 at Red Sox. Back the better team with the better pitcher.

The God of Odds likes the New York Yankees on the moneyline at -112, and LowVig is the place to hammer it.

This isn't complicated. The Yankees are 48-32 overall, 26-17 on the road, and they're facing a Boston team that's just 41-38 with a glaring 4.33 ERA. New York's 3.30 ERA is a full run better. That's a massive gap in a sport defined by pitching.

Look at the recent form. The Yankees are 3-1 in their last four head-to-head meetings, outscoring Boston 12-3 in that stretch. The Red Sox have lost two straight and now they're without Brendan Rodgers and Tim Elko. Two infielders out means a weaker defense behind a shaky pitching staff.

Boston's home record is flashy at 26-13, but their underlying numbers don't lie. They allow 4.6 runs per game, same as they score. That's mediocrity dressed up in a good record. The Yankees score 5.0 per game and allow just 3.7. They're the better team, plain and simple.

The line hasn't moved because the market already knows. LowVig has the Yankees at -112, the best price available. BetOnline and BetUS have the same number, but LowVig is the sharpest book in this spot. Take the -112 and don't overthink it.

The Yankees are the play. Full stop.