Royals at -100 vs Padres. San Diego's injuries make this a no-brainer.

The God of Odds likes the Kansas City Royals on the moneyline at -100 and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it.

The Royals are sitting at 38-59, but don't let that record fool you. They're 21-26 at home and averaging 4.2 runs per game. Meanwhile, the Padres are 48-48 but have been hit hard by injuries. Yu Darvish and Matt Waldron are both out or doubtful, which is a massive blow to their rotation. The Padres' ERA sits at 4.23, but without those arms, that number is misleading.

Kansas City's last 10 games have been a rollercoaster: L-L-W-W-W-L-L-L-L-L. That's three straight losses, but before that they won three in a row. This is a team that's shown it can string wins together. Their moneyline record is 13-25, but at these odds, you're getting value on a home dog that's actually favored. The line movement hasn't been significant, but the market is telling you something by keeping the Royals at -100 despite their record.

The Padres have lost two of their last three and are just 21-24 on the road. With their top pitchers sidelined, the Royals' offense should find opportunities. Kansas City allows 5.1 runs per game, but San Diego only scores 3.9. That's a clear edge for the home team.

BetOnline.ag has the Royals at 100, which is the best moneyline price available. Bovada has them at -110, so you're getting better value at BetOnline. This is a moderate confidence play at 3 out of 5, but the injury situation on the Padres side makes it a sharp bet. The Royals are the favorite for a reason. Take the moneyline and watch the runs come.