San Jose +138 at home against Real Salt Lake, and the market is split.

San Jose Earthquakes host Real Salt Lake with the moneyline sitting at +138 for the home side. The market, with the margin removed, gives San Jose a 40% chance, the draw 25%, and Real Salt Lake 35%. That's a tight three way split, and it's why this game lands in the no pick zone for Godds. But there's plenty to chew on.

San Jose is the favorite for a reason. They're on a three game win streak and have won seven of their last ten, a run that includes a 2-1 moneyline record. They score 1.7 goals per game and allow 1.5. The Earthquakes have found a rhythm at home, and the market respects it.

Real Salt Lake is no pushover. They're 12-6-14 overall, score 1.6 per game and allow 1.5, nearly identical to San Jose's numbers. Their last ten shows some inconsistency, but they've won three of their last four, with the lone loss coming in their most recent match. They also hold a 3-3 moneyline record, and the head to head last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw. RSL has shown they can hang with anyone.

The number has been stable. San Jose opened around +135 to +139, and the best price now is +139 at BetAnything. The draw is +295 at BetAnything, and Real Salt Lake is +175 at BetAnything. In the draw no bet market, San Jose is -127 at BetAnything, while Real Salt Lake is +105 at BetAnything. The market hasn't moved much, which tells you bettors are as split as the probabilities suggest.

Godds has no pick on this game because no side reaches the 70% threshold in its model. The gap between San Jose and Real Salt Lake is too narrow to call with confidence. If you have a read, the best numbers are at BetAnything across both markets.