San Jose Earthquakes

The San Jose Earthquakes are on a three-game winning streak (W3) and have won four of their last five, sitting at 14-10-9 with a PPG of 1.70 and PAPG of 1.45. That form looks impressive on the surface, but dig deeper and you'll find reasons for caution. Their recent wins came at home against Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo (though the Houston pick was a loss for GODDS), and a road win at Colorado Rapids (which was a push). However, their two road losses in the recent picks were against Real Salt Lake and a push against LAFC at home. The Earthquakes have been profitable for moneyline bettors recently, but the advanced stats are a major concern: zero clean sheets, zero expected goals, zero possession percentage, and zero shots on target per game. These stats are either missing or indicate a severe lack of data, but if they are accurate, it suggests San Jose is winning without controlling games-a unsustainable recipe. The absence of clean sheets means they rarely shut out opponents, putting pressure on their offense to outscore. With no significant injuries reported, they have a full squad, which is a positive. However, the lack of advanced metrics makes it difficult to assess their true performance level. Sharp bettors are likely skeptical of this win streak, especially given the nature of their victories. Public bettors may be piling on San Jose due to the winning streak, creating potential value in fading them. The Earthquakes' next games are crucial: they need to prove they can dominate possession and create quality chances. Until they show improvement in these areas, I recommend caution. Specifically, avoid backing San Jose as a road favorite; their away form is questionable. Instead, look for spots to bet against them when they are overvalued, particularly on the road. If they are underdogs at home, they might be worth a small play given their home form, but the lack of clean sheets makes under bets on total goals attractive. Monitor the injury report closely; any key injury could expose their depth. Overall, San Jose is a team to watch but not trust blindly. Their current streak may be inflating their betting odds, presenting opportunities for contrarian bettors. Stay sharp and wait for the market to overreact to their wins.