San Jose Earthquakes +245 at FC Cincinnati: The market is sleeping on the best team in MLS

The God of Odds likes the San Jose Earthquakes on the moneyline at +245, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it. This isn't a flier. This is a sharp fade of a public favorite that's been living on reputation, not results.

Look at the numbers. San Jose is 10-4 on the season, the best record in this matchup by a mile. They're 9-1-0 in their last 10 games, a run that includes seven straight wins before a single hiccup. Meanwhile, FC Cincinnati is 6-6, and their last 10 reads W-D-D-D-L-W-L-L-L-W. That's a team going nowhere, losers of three of their last four. The Earthquakes are scoring 2.1 PPG while allowing just 1.2. Cincinnati is giving up 2.5 per game. That's a recipe for an upset.

Line movement confirms the sharp money is on San Jose. The ML has drifted from -109 to +245 at some books, a classic sign that the market is overrating the home side. Cincinnati's moneyline record is 0-2, meaning they've lost every time they've been favored. The Earthquakes are the better team, in better form, and they're getting plus money to prove it.

Now, the books are all over the place. MyBookie.ag has Cincinnati at -109, but BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag are offering +245 on San Jose. Bovada and BetUS are at +240. If you're backing the dog, you want the best price, and that's BetOnline.ag at +245. That's a 5-point difference from Bovada, and it adds up fast on a straight bet.

Don't overthink this. The Earthquakes are the play. They're the better team, they're hot, and the price is right. Hammer San Jose at +245 and watch Cincinnati's season continue to spiral.