Celtics -11.5 vs. Nets: The Market Sees a Blowout

The Brooklyn Nets walk into Boston at 0-3, and the market has already made its call. The Celtics are -11.5, priced at -570 on the moneyline. The market probability, margin removed, sits at 82% for Boston and 18% for Brooklyn. That's the number to beat, and it's a big one.

The case for Boston starts with defense and home court. The Celtics are 2-0 at home and allow 107.7 points per game, a full 16 points fewer than Brooklyn gives up. Boston scores 118.0 per game and is on a two-game win streak. The Nets are 0-3, allowing 123.7 per game, and their 41.7% field goal rate is the kind of number that gets a team buried on the road.

The case for Brooklyn is simpler: the number is huge, and the Nets have covered in 50% of their games this season. They've also hit the over in both of their games, and Boston has done the same. If Brooklyn's 111.0 points per game shows up, the +11.5 at Bovada (-105) is the best price on the board. The Nets have lost three straight, but they've also covered in one of their two games with a number.

The line hasn't moved. The spread opened at -11.5 and sits at -11.5. The total opened at 222.5 and sits at 222.5. The best moneyline price on Boston is -550 at Bovada. The best price on Brooklyn is +435 at BetAnything. On the spread, Boston -11.5 (-110) is best at BetAnything, and Brooklyn +11.5 (-105) is best at Bovada. On the total, Over -110 and Under -110 are both best at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.