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Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Knicks -4 vs. the 3-0 Pistons, and the market isn't blinking.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: New York Knicks -4 (moneyline -165)
  • Market probability (margin removed): New York Knicks 60%, Detroit Pistons 40%
  • Line since opening: New York Knicks -4 → -4 · Total 219.5 → 219.5

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Spread

Total 219.5

The Knicks are 0-3 and the market still made them a -4 favorite over a Detroit team that hasn't lost. New York's moneyline sits at -165, and with the margin removed the market hands the Knicks a 60% probability against Detroit's 40%. That's the gap bettors are being asked to judge tonight.

The case for New York starts with the price itself. The Knicks are 0-3 and 0-2 at home, scoring just 101.7 points per game while allowing 108.0, yet the number hasn't moved off -4. Their own database shows a 14-13 ATS record, so this isn't a team that gets buried by the number. Jose Alvarado is out or doubtful, which thins the guard rotation, but the market is treating New York's slow start as noise rather than a trend.

The case for Detroit is louder. The Pistons are 3-0, 2-0 on the road, and putting up 118.3 points per game while giving up 105.7. They're shooting 47.3% from the field against New York's 40.8%, and they've won all three recent meetings, including 121-90 and 118-80 blowouts in January and February. Jalen Duren is out or doubtful, which tests the interior, but Detroit's ATS and moneyline records are both perfect so far.

The line hasn't budged: Knicks -4 to -4, total 219.5 to 219.5. Best prices are Knicks -165 and Pistons +145 on the moneyline at BetAnything, Knicks -4 (-110) at BetAnything and Pistons +4 (-105) at BetOnline.ag. The total sits at 219.5, with both sides -110 at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model, so the call is yours. If you're on the Knicks, -165 at BetAnything is the shortest price on the board. If you're on Detroit, +145 at BetAnything is the longest.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookPistonsKnicksSpreadO/U
BetOnline.ag
MyBookie.ag
BetUS
BetAnything
Bovada
Everygame
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair+154-154-4(-102)219(O+100)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Oct 27, 11:48 AM ET. Lines may have moved.

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks: FAQ

Who is favored in Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks?+

New York Knicks: -4 on the spread and -165 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 60%.

What are the best odds for Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks?+

When this analysis was written: New York Knicks -165 at BetAnything and Detroit Pistons +145 at BetAnything on the moneyline; New York Knicks -4 (-110) at BetAnything and Detroit Pistons +4 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 219.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened New York Knicks -4 and was -4 when this analysis was written; the total opened 219.5 and was 219.5.

Does GODDS have a pick for Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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