Rockets -6 in Phoenix, and the market isn't blinking.

Houston rolls into Phoenix as a -6 favorite with the moneyline at -260, and the market's margin-removed probability sits at Houston 69%, Phoenix 31%. That's a number worth respecting, but it's not a number that clears the bar for a published pick. Here's what each side brings.

The Rockets are 7-2, 3-1 on the road, scoring 117.9 and allowing just 107.6. They've covered in 5 of 7 games (71%) and own a 5-2 moneyline record. Houston has won all four recent meetings, including 114-92 in Phoenix last November and 117-98 in December. The case is simple: the better record, the better defense, and a head-to-head sweep.

Phoenix is 2-5 and 0-3 against the spread, allowing 121.4 points per game. That's the argument against the Suns. The argument for them: they're 2-2 at home, riding a 1-game win streak, and the total has gone over in 2 of 3 games. Phoenix scores 113.9 per game and shoots 47.0% from the field. If the Suns are going to hang around, it happens at home, where they've been competitive.

The line hasn't moved. Spread stayed at Houston -6, total stayed at 224. Best prices: Phoenix moneyline +230 at Everygame, Houston moneyline -250 at Bovada. Spread: Suns +6 (-105) at BetOnline.ag, Rockets -6 (-110) at BetAnything. Total 224: over and under both -110 at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best numbers are on the board above.