Pacers -7 in Brooklyn, and the market isn't blinking.

The Pacers are 1-1 and the Nets are 0-2, and the market has already made up its mind. Indiana is a -7 favorite with a moneyline of -272, and the market probability with the margin removed sits at 70% Indiana, 30% Brooklyn. That 70% is the number that matters here, because it's the exact threshold where a pick would live. It's also the reason this preview has none.

Brooklyn's best argument is that it's been covering. The Nets are 1-0 ATS and 1-0 on the over/under, and they're getting +7 at home against a team allowing 120.5 points per game. Brooklyn scores 112.0 and gives up 117.5, so the points are there. The concern is shooting: a 42.1% field goal mark is the number that explains the 0-2 start, and the Nets are missing Mikel Brown Jr. and Tyler Bilodeau.

Indiana's case is the flip side. The Pacers shoot 48.3% from the field and average 114.0 points, and they've already won on the road this season. They're 2-1 in the last three meetings, including a 123-94 blowout in Brooklyn on April 9. But they're 0-1 ATS, allowing 120.5, and missing T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy. That's a lot of backcourt depth on the bench.

The line hasn't moved: -7 at the open, -7 now, total 231 to 231. Best moneyline prices are Brooklyn +230 at BetUS and Indiana -265 at Everygame. Best spread price on both sides is -110 at BetAnything. The total is 231, with over -110 and under -110 at Bovada.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for it.