crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Clippers -1 against the Lakers, and the line flipped fast.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Los Angeles Clippers -1 (moneyline -115)
- Market probability (margin removed): Los Angeles Clippers 51%, Los Angeles Lakers 49%
- Line since opening: Los Angeles Clippers +5 → -1 · Total 226 → 224.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Los Angeles Clippers -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Los Angeles Lakers -105 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Spread
- Los Angeles Clippers -1 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Los Angeles Lakers +1 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 224.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
The Clippers opened as +5 underdogs and now sit as -1 favorites. That's a six-point swing before tip, and the market probability after removing the margin lands at Clippers 51%, Lakers 49%. This is a coin flip with a price tag, and bettors are getting two very different arguments from the data.
The Clippers' case starts with their 2-0 ATS record and a home win already banked. They're scoring 113.0 PPG and allowing 109.7, and the market moved hard toward them: the moneyline went from +149 to -115 on sharp action. The spread flipped from +5 to -1. The concern is a 2-game losing streak and a crowded injury report with Rui Hachimura, Bradley Beal, Max Strus, Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller, Yanic Konan Niederhauser all out or doubtful.
The Lakers' case is the offense. They're putting up 128.3 PPG on 54.97% shooting and they're 3-1 on the season with a road win. Their ATS mark is 2-1 and they've won two of the last four meetings, including a 135-118 blowout in November. But they're allowing 120.3 PPG, and they come in on a one-game losing streak with Cameron Carr and Adou Thiero out or doubtful.
The line move is the story. Clippers went from +5 to -1, and the total dropped from 226 to 224.5. Best prices: Clippers moneyline -110 at Bovada, Lakers moneyline -105 at BetAnything. Spread: Clippers -1 (-105) at Bovada, Lakers +1 (-110) at BetAnything. Total 224.5: over -110 at BetAnything, under -110 at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. Shop the best number for whatever your read is.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 28, 6:29 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Los Angeles Clippers: FAQ
Who is favored in Los Angeles Lakers vs Los Angeles Clippers?+
Los Angeles Clippers: -1 on the spread and -115 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 51%.
What are the best odds for Los Angeles Lakers vs Los Angeles Clippers?+
When this analysis was written: Los Angeles Clippers -110 at Bovada and Los Angeles Lakers -105 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Los Angeles Clippers -1 (-105) at Bovada and Los Angeles Lakers +1 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 224.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Los Angeles Clippers +5 and was -1 when this analysis was written; the total opened 226 and was 224.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Los Angeles Lakers vs Los Angeles Clippers?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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