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Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Grizzlies 118, Raptors 102: the favorite covers at -1.5

Memphis Grizzlies@Toronto RaptorsFinal: Memphis Grizzlies 118, Toronto Raptors 102

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 (moneyline -121)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Toronto Raptors 47%, Memphis Grizzlies 53%
  • Line since opening: Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 → -1.5 · Total 228.5 → 225.5

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Spread

Total 225.5

Final: Memphis Grizzlies 118, Toronto Raptors 102

Against the closing line: Memphis Grizzlies won and covered -1.5 · Total 220, under 225.5

Game Recap

Memphis Grizzlies 118, Toronto Raptors 102. The Grizzlies came out and imposed their will, turning a coin-flip game into a statement. Memphis, the favorite at -1.5, never let Toronto settle in, and the 118 points were more than enough to cover. The total closed at 225.5, but the game landed at 220, going under. The market had this one tight at 53% Memphis, but the Grizzlies played like the road warriors they've been all season. No pick here, just a result that showed why the odds were never as close as the final score suggested. Memphis moves on, Toronto has questions to answer.

Pre-Game Analysis

Memphis Grizzlies at Toronto Raptors, Monday November 9, 2026. The market has this one tight: Memphis is the favorite at -1.5 and around -121 on the moneyline, with the market probability at 53% Memphis, 47% Toronto. That's a coin flip with a lean, and it's why there's no GODDS pick here.

The case for Memphis: the Grizzlies are 6-3 and a perfect 4-0 on the road. They score 117.9 per game and allow 111.8, and their 4-3 ATS mark (57%) says they've mostly held their number. The catch is a three-game losing streak, and the last two losses came after a 6-0 start. Scotty Pippen Jr., Isaiah Stewart and Richie Saunders are all out or doubtful.

The case for Toronto: the Raptors are 5-4, 2-1 at home, and they've won the last two meetings, including 117-104 on November 2 and 128-96 back in April. They cover at 63% (5-3 ATS) and score 118.2 per game. The concern is who's available: Nate Bittle and Kawhi Leonard are out or doubtful, which thins the rotation against a Memphis team that's been better on the road than at home.

The number has moved. The spread opened at Memphis +2.5 and is now -1.5, a full four-point swing toward the Grizzlies. The total dropped from 228.5 to 225.5. The moneyline went from Toronto -140 to +102, which tells you where the sharp money landed. Best prices: Toronto +105 on the moneyline at BetAnything, Memphis -120 at BetOnline.ag. On the spread, Toronto +1.5 (-105) at Bovada, Memphis -1.5 (-110) at BetAnything. Total 225.5: over -110 and under -110, both at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick on this game because no side reaches 70% in its model. If you have a read, shop the best number for it.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookGrizzliesRaptorsSpreadO/U
Bovada
BetUS
MyBookie.ag
BetAnything
BetOnline.ag
Everygame
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair-110+110+1.5(+101)225(O+100)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 9, 6:45 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors: FAQ

Who is favored in Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors?+

Memphis Grizzlies: -1.5 on the spread and -121 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 53%.

What are the best odds for Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors?+

When this analysis was written: Toronto Raptors +105 at BetAnything and Memphis Grizzlies -120 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Toronto Raptors +1.5 (-105) at Bovada and Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 225.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 and was -1.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 228.5 and was 225.5.

Does GODDS have a pick for Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

What was the final score?+

Memphis Grizzlies 118, Toronto Raptors 102.

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